Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: match statistics
Lusitano Évora shows a decisive advantage in home matches with a 63% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4). The hosts average 1.38 goals per game at home with an expected xG of 1.64, evidencing solid efficiency. Caldas is experiencing a form crisis with five consecutive defeats and zero points in the last five matches, conceding as many as 13 goals. On the road, the visitors present a weak offense (0.88 goals/match) with a high loss rate (50%). The difference in home play quality and the visitors' disastrous form argue for a Lusitano Évora victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively even seasonal records of both teams. The xG statistics (1.64 vs 1.13) further confirm the hosts' advantage in creating scoring chances.
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lusitano Évora 1911 played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Caldas: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Caldas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lusitano Évora 1911 50%, Caldas 50%. Over 2.5: Lusitano Évora 1911 31%, Caldas 44%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Lusitano Évora 1911 has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.25. Lusitano Évora 1911: 10.3 shots per match, Caldas: 9.2.
Match halves
Lusitano Évora 1911: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Caldas: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Lusitano Évora 1911: 61-75 (5 goals). Caldas: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lusitano Évora shows a decisive advantage in home matches with a 63% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4). The hosts average 1.38 goals per game at home with an expected xG of 1.64, evidencing solid efficiency. Caldas is experiencing a form crisis with five consecutive defeats and zero points in the last five matches, conceding as many as 13 goals. On the road, the visitors present a weak offense (0.88 goals/match) with a high loss rate (50%). The difference in home play quality and the visitors' disastrous form argue for a Lusitano Évora victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively even seasonal records of both teams. The xG statistics (1.64 vs 1.13) further confirm the hosts' advantage in creating scoring chances.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.38 goals / match - Caldas
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Caldas scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Lusitano Évora 1911 keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lusitano Évora 1911
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 0.88 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lusitano Évora 1911 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lusitano Évora 1911
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.13 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 36% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 63% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 0 - 0 - 1 Caldas. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Lusitano Évora 1911 1:0 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
Lusitano Évora 1911 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lusitano Évora 1911's matches and 50% of Caldas's.
What form are Lusitano Évora 1911 and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Caldas 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.