Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilhã: match statistics
Lusitano Évora shows a clear advantage in home matches with a 57% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4). The hosts average 1.43 goals per match at home with a solid xG of 1.58, indicating offensive efficiency. Sporting Covilhã presents very poor away form – just 14% wins, averaging 0.57 goals scored with an xG of only 0.87 and a negative goal difference (-5). The guests also struggle with finishing (43% FTS%) and low shot conversion (9%). The recent form of both teams confirms the hosts' advantage – despite a weaker overall run, Évora performs significantly better at home, while Covilhã has earned just 0.4 PPG in the last five matches. All statistical indicators favor a victory for Lusitano Évora at their own stadium.
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilhã: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lusitano Évora 1911 played Sporting Covilhã in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sporting Covilhã: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores 0.93 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Sporting Covilhã scores 0.57 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lusitano Évora 1911 43%, Sporting Covilhã 43%. Over 2.5: Lusitano Évora 1911 29%, Sporting Covilhã 29%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Lusitano Évora 1911 has higher xG: 1.37 vs 0.98. Lusitano Évora 1911: 9.6 shots per match, Sporting Covilhã: 7.2.
Match halves
Lusitano Évora 1911: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.57. Sporting Covilhã: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Lusitano Évora 1911: 16-30 (3 goals). Sporting Covilhã: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lusitano Évora shows a clear advantage in home matches with a 57% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4). The hosts average 1.43 goals per match at home with a solid xG of 1.58, indicating offensive efficiency. Sporting Covilhã presents very poor away form – just 14% wins, averaging 0.57 goals scored with an xG of only 0.87 and a negative goal difference (-5). The guests also struggle with finishing (43% FTS%) and low shot conversion (9%). The recent form of both teams confirms the hosts' advantage – despite a weaker overall run, Évora performs significantly better at home, while Covilhã has earned just 0.4 PPG in the last five matches. All statistical indicators favor a victory for Lusitano Évora at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Sporting Covilhã | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Covilhã is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 0.57 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.36 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Sporting Covilhã keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Sporting Covilhã scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Lusitano Évora 1911 keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lusitano Évora 1911
Over / Under - Sporting Covilhã
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 0.64 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lusitano Évora 1911 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sporting Covilhã - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lusitano Évora 1911
Sporting Covilhã
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga | Sporting Covilhã | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.07 | 2.13 | ▼ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 34% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sporting CovilhãSubstitutionOn: Fábio Alexandre Ferreira CruzOff: Tomás Costa Branco novais Oliveira
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 0 - 1 - 0 Sporting Covilhã. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilhã?
The Liga 3 match finished Lusitano Évora 1911 2:1 Sporting Covilhã. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilhã?
Lusitano Évora 1911 score 0.93 goals per game on average and Sporting Covilhã 0.57. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Lusitano Évora 1911's matches and 43% of Sporting Covilhã's.
What form are Lusitano Évora 1911 and Sporting Covilhã in?
Over the last 5 games Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sporting Covilhã 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilhã?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilhã: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.