Luton Town vs Blackpool: match statistics
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +8 in home matches. Blackpool, on the other hand, performs very poorly away, losing as many as 69% of their away matches and failing to score in 46% of cases. The hosts have an advantage in possession (57% vs 50%), higher shot accuracy, and a significantly better xG ratio (1.64 vs 1.12). The form from the last five matches also speaks in favor of Luton Town, who average 0.8 points per game compared to Blackpool's 0.6. Additionally, the visitors concede an average of 1.54 goals away, which, combined with the hosts' solid offense (averaging 1.5 goals in home matches), gives Luton Town a clear advantage.
Luton Town vs Blackpool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Luton Town played Blackpool in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Luton Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Blackpool: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Luton Town scores 1.32 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Blackpool scores 1.25 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Luton Town 39%, Blackpool 50%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 50%, Blackpool 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Luton Town has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.19. Luton Town: 12.5 shots per match, Blackpool: 10.2.
Match halves
Luton Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Blackpool: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Luton Town: 76-90+ (11 goals). Blackpool: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +8 in home matches. Blackpool, on the other hand, performs very poorly away, losing as many as 69% of their away matches and failing to score in 46% of cases. The hosts have an advantage in possession (57% vs 50%), higher shot accuracy, and a significantly better xG ratio (1.64 vs 1.12). The form from the last five matches also speaks in favor of Luton Town, who average 0.8 points per game compared to Blackpool's 0.6. Additionally, the visitors concede an average of 1.54 goals away, which, combined with the hosts' solid offense (averaging 1.5 goals in home matches), gives Luton Town a clear advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Luton Town | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luton Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Luton Town · 0.6 pts / match - Blackpool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luton Town is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.25 goals / match - Blackpool
Luton Town is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.46 goals / match - Blackpool
Luton Town scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Blackpool keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Blackpool scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luton Town
Over / Under - Blackpool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Blackpool is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.32 pts / match - Blackpool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Blackpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Luton Town
Blackpool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Luton Town | Liga | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Luton Town 0 - 1 - 0 Blackpool. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Luton Town vs Blackpool?
The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 1:0 Blackpool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Blackpool?
Luton Town score 1.32 goals per game on average and Blackpool 1.25. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Luton Town's matches and 50% of Blackpool's.
What form are Luton Town and Blackpool in?
Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Blackpool 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Blackpool?
The statistical background for Luton Town vs Blackpool — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.