Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Luton Town played Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Luton Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Luton Town scores 1.18 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.44 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Luton Town 29%, Bolton Wanderers 50%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 47%, Bolton Wanderers 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.49. Luton Town: 12.3 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.8.

Match halves

Luton Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Luton Town: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18Shots8
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
4Shots on target1
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2.07xG0.87
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
13Corners2
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
91Dangerous attacks41
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
8Fouls7
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1Cards3
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.18Goals scored / match1.44
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.24Goals conceded / match0.94
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
58%Average possession58%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
3.82Shots on target / match5.31
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.35Shots per match16.81
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
3.82Shots on target5.31
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
9.5%Shot conversion8.6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
58%Possession58%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.49xG for1.84
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.09xG against0.91
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Luton Town: BalancedBolton Wanderers: Dominant
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Luton Town
WWDLW
Season result split
47% W12% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-7
1.53 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Bolton Wanderers
LWWWD
Season result split
44% W38% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-3
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolton Wanderers is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.44 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.24 goals / match - Luton Town · 0.94 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town scoring profile: strong

Luton Town scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).

20Goals scored (season)23
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
21Goals conceded (season)15
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2.41Average goals in match2.38
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal75%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
35%2 goals38%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
12%3 goals19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0%4 goals13%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal69%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
41%2 goals19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18%3 goals6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6%4 goals0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
24%Scored in both halves25%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
20%BTTS - last 520%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bolton Wanderers is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.31 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.31
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1Average goals (1st half)0.94
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
65%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
65%No goal before half-time69%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)1.69
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
47%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
41%No goal after half-time31%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Luton Town - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

44% W38% D19% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luton Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
7
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.93
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Luton TownLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals in match 2.412.47 2.38
Both teams scored 29%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%47% 38%
Clean sheets 47%28% 31%
Goal before half-time 65%67% 63%
Goal after half-time 82%83% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bolton WanderersGoalKyle Michael DempseyAssist: Jordi Osei-Tutu
  2. Bolton WanderersYellow cardXavier Simons
  3. Luton TownYellow cardNigel Lonwijk
  4. Bolton WanderersYellow cardJosh Cogley
  5. Luton TownSubstitutionOn: Gideon KaduaOff: Jacob Brown
  6. Bolton WanderersYellow cardXavier Simons
  7. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Marcus ForssOff: Amario Cozier-Duberry
  8. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Richard TaylorOff: Jordi Osei-Tutu
  9. Luton TownGoalGideon KaduaAssist: Millenic Alli
  10. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: John McateeOff: Josh Cogley

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 1:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Luton Town score 1.18 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.44. The EFL League One average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Luton Town's matches and 50% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Luton Town and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.