Luton Town vs Bradford City: match statistics
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.47 goals per home game while conceding just 0.87, which translates to a 47% clean sheet rate. Bradford City has weaker away form with only a 29% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference of -5, and a high 36% of matches without a scored goal. Expected goals (xG) statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.23), and Luton controls the game better with 56% average possession in home fixtures. The recent form of both teams is mixed, but Luton's home advantage and Bradford's away weaknesses point to a probable home victory.
Luton Town vs Bradford City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Luton Town play Bradford City in EFL League One (England). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 13:31. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Luton Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bradford City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Luton Town scores 1.48 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Bradford City scores 1.21 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Luton Town 54%, Bradford City 56%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 54%, Bradford City 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Luton Town has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.46. Luton Town: 13.2 shots per match, Bradford City: 12.6.
Match halves
Luton Town: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70. Bradford City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Luton Town: 31-45+ (16 goals). Bradford City: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.47 goals per home game while conceding just 0.87, which translates to a 47% clean sheet rate. Bradford City has weaker away form with only a 29% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference of -5, and a high 36% of matches without a scored goal. Expected goals (xG) statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.23), and Luton controls the game better with 56% average possession in home fixtures. The recent form of both teams is mixed, but Luton's home advantage and Bradford's away weaknesses point to a probable home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Luton Town | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luton Town is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Luton Town · 1 pts / match - Bradford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luton Town is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.21 goals / match - Bradford City
Bradford City is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.1 goals / match - Bradford City
Luton Town scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Bradford City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (14 of 48 matches).
Bradford City scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Luton Town
Over / Under — Bradford City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luton Town is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.23 pts / match - Bradford City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bradford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Luton Town
Bradford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Luton Town | Liga | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Luton Town 0 - 0 - 1 Bradford City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Luton Town vs Bradford City?
The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 2:1 Bradford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Bradford City?
Luton Town score 1.48 goals per game on average and Bradford City 1.21. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Luton Town's matches and 56% of Bradford City's.
What form are Luton Town and Bradford City in?
Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bradford City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Bradford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.