Luton Town vs Bradford City: match statistics
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.47 goals per home game while conceding just 0.87, which translates to a 47% clean sheet rate. Bradford City has weaker away form with only a 29% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference of -5, and a high 36% of matches without a scored goal. Expected goals (xG) statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.23), and Luton controls the game better with 56% average possession in home fixtures. The recent form of both teams is mixed, but Luton's home advantage and Bradford's away weaknesses point to a probable home victory.
Luton Town vs Bradford City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Luton Town played Bradford City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Luton Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Bradford City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Luton Town scores 1.31 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Bradford City scores 1.29 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Luton Town 38%, Bradford City 57%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 48%, Bradford City 57%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Luton Town has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.40. Luton Town: 12.5 shots per match, Bradford City: 12.2.
Match halves
Luton Town: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. Bradford City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Luton Town: 76-90+ (11 goals). Bradford City: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.47 goals per home game while conceding just 0.87, which translates to a 47% clean sheet rate. Bradford City has weaker away form with only a 29% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference of -5, and a high 36% of matches without a scored goal. Expected goals (xG) statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.23), and Luton controls the game better with 56% average possession in home fixtures. The recent form of both teams is mixed, but Luton's home advantage and Bradford's away weaknesses point to a probable home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Luton Town | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luton Town is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.2 pts / match - Bradford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bradford City is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.11 goals / match - Bradford City
Luton Town scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Bradford City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Bradford City scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luton Town
Over / Under - Bradford City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bradford City is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.29 pts / match - Bradford City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bradford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Luton Town
Bradford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Luton Town | Liga | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Luton Town 0 - 0 - 1 Bradford City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Luton Town vs Bradford City?
The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 2:1 Bradford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Bradford City?
Luton Town score 1.31 goals per game on average and Bradford City 1.29. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Luton Town's matches and 57% of Bradford City's.
What form are Luton Town and Bradford City in?
Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bradford City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Bradford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.