Luton Town vs Leyton Orient: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Luton Town played Leyton Orient in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Luton Town: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Leyton Orient: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Luton Town scores 1.36 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Leyton Orient scores 1.55 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Luton Town 41%, Leyton Orient 59%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 50%, Leyton Orient 59%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Luton Town has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.34. Luton Town: 12.6 shots per match, Leyton Orient: 11.9.

Match halves

Luton Town: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.86. Leyton Orient: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Luton Town: 76-90+ (11 goals). Leyton Orient: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Luton TownLeyton Orient
9Shots10
Luton TownLeyton Orient
4Shots on target3
Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.13xG1.18
Luton TownLeyton Orient
2Corners9
Luton TownLeyton Orient
38Dangerous attacks44
Luton TownLeyton Orient
11Fouls15
Luton TownLeyton Orient
2Cards0
Luton TownLeyton Orient

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.36Goals scored / match1.55
Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.27Goals conceded / match1.59
Luton TownLeyton Orient
58%Average possession53%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
3.82Shots on target / match4.05
Luton TownLeyton Orient

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.55Shots per match11.86
Luton TownLeyton Orient
3.82Shots on target4.05
Luton TownLeyton Orient
10.9%Shot conversion13%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
58%Possession53%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.49xG for1.34
Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.04xG against1.37
Luton TownLeyton Orient

Shooting quality

Luton Town: BalancedLeyton Orient: Efficient finishing
Luton TownLeyton Orient
Accuracy (shots on target)30%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Leyton Orient is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.4 pts / match - Leyton Orient

Luton Town
DDDLW
Season result split
41% W23% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-8
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Leyton Orient
WDLWL
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-10
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leyton Orient is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.55 goals / match - Leyton Orient

Luton Town is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.27 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.59 goals / match - Leyton Orient

Luton Town scoring profile: very strong

Luton Town scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Leyton Orient keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

Leyton Orient scoring profile: strong

Leyton Orient scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).

30Goals scored (season)34
Luton TownLeyton Orient
28Goals conceded (season)35
Luton TownLeyton Orient
2.64Average goals in match3.14
Luton TownLeyton Orient
10Goals scored (last 5)9
Luton TownLeyton Orient
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Luton TownLeyton Orient

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal82%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
41%2 goals45%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
14%3 goals18%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
5%4 goals9%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal77%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
41%2 goals41%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
18%3 goals27%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
5%4 goals14%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time32%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
9%BTTS in both halves14%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
27%Scored in both halves32%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
80%BTTS - last 560%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leyton Orient is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.27 pts / match - Leyton Orient

Luton Town - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing
Leyton Orient - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.27
Luton TownLeyton Orient
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Luton TownLeyton Orient
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.36
Luton TownLeyton Orient
59%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
64%No goal before half-time50%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.27
Luton TownLeyton Orient
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Luton TownLeyton Orient
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
Luton TownLeyton Orient
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.77
Luton TownLeyton Orient
45%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Luton TownLeyton Orient
32%No goal after half-time36%
Luton TownLeyton Orient

Luton Town - second-half results

36% W41% D23% L
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leyton Orient - second-half results

36% W18% D45% L
28
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luton Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Leyton Orient - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
3
0
16-30
6
6
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
11
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Leyton Orient
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
7
8
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
7
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

Leyton Orient

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Luton TownLigaLeyton Orient
Average goals in match 2.642.55 3.14
Both teams scored 41%51% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%49% 59%
Clean sheets 41%27% 23%
Goal before half-time 68%69% 68%
Goal after half-time 86%82% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Luton TownGoalGideon KaduaAssist: Mads Juel Andersen
  2. Luton TownGoalJordan Clark
  3. Luton TownGoalShayden MorrisAssist: Nahki Michael Wells
  4. Luton TownSubstitutionOn: George SavilleOff: Liam Walsh
  5. Luton TownYellow cardTeden Mengi
  6. Luton TownSubstitutionOn: Cohen BramallOff: Shayden Morris
  7. Luton TownYellow cardZack Nelson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Luton Town 0 - 1 - 0 Leyton Orient. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Luton Town vs Leyton Orient?

The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 3:0 Leyton Orient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Leyton Orient?

Luton Town score 1.36 goals per game on average and Leyton Orient 1.55. The EFL League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Luton Town's matches and 59% of Leyton Orient's.

What form are Luton Town and Leyton Orient in?

Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Leyton Orient 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Leyton Orient?

The statistical background for Luton Town vs Leyton Orient — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.