Luton Town vs Port Vale: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Luton Town play Port Vale in EFL League One (England). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Luton Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Port Vale: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Luton Town scores 1.48 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Port Vale scores 0.78 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Luton Town 54%, Port Vale 35%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 54%, Port Vale 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Luton Town has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.24. Luton Town: 13.2 shots per match, Port Vale: 11.1.

Match halves

Luton Town: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70. Port Vale: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.37.

Goals by minute

Luton Town: 31-45+ (16 goals). Port Vale: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
Luton TownPort Vale
13Shots10
Luton TownPort Vale
4Shots on target3
Luton TownPort Vale
1.43xG1.21
Luton TownPort Vale
8Corners4
Luton TownPort Vale
45Dangerous attacks50
Luton TownPort Vale
11Fouls9
Luton TownPort Vale
1Cards2
Luton TownPort Vale

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Luton TownPort Vale
1.48Goals scored / match0.78
Luton TownPort Vale
1.22Goals conceded / match1.33
Luton TownPort Vale
56%Average possession46%
Luton TownPort Vale
4.09Shots on target / match3.11
Luton TownPort Vale

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.24Shots per match11.13
Luton TownPort Vale
4.09Shots on target3.11
Luton TownPort Vale
11.2%Shot conversion7%
Luton TownPort Vale
56%Possession46%
Luton TownPort Vale
1.51xG for1.24
Luton TownPort Vale
1.23xG against1.38
Luton TownPort Vale

Shooting quality

Luton Town: BalancedPort Vale: Balanced
Luton TownPort Vale
Accuracy (shots on target)31%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Luton Town is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Luton Town · 0.8 pts / match - Port Vale

Luton Town
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
46% W24% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-14
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-6-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Port Vale
DLLWL
Season result split
22% W26% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-12-24
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-14
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Luton Town is 90% better for: goals scored per match.

1.48 goals / match - Luton Town · 0.78 goals / match - Port Vale

Luton Town is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.33 goals / match - Port Vale

Luton Town scoring profile: very strong

Luton Town scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).

Port Vale scoring profile: mixed

Port Vale scores in 48% of matches (22 of 46 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).

68Goals scored (season)36
Luton TownPort Vale
56Goals conceded (season)61
Luton TownPort Vale
2.7Average goals in match2.11
Luton TownPort Vale
11Goals scored (last 5)3
Luton TownPort Vale
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Luton TownPort Vale

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal48%
Luton TownPort Vale
50%2 goals22%
Luton TownPort Vale
15%3 goals4%
Luton TownPort Vale
2%4 goals2%
Luton TownPort Vale

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal72%
Luton TownPort Vale
33%2 goals35%
Luton TownPort Vale
13%3 goals17%
Luton TownPort Vale
2%4 goals7%
Luton TownPort Vale

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
Luton TownPort Vale
7%BTTS in both halves4%
Luton TownPort Vale
30%Scored in both halves9%
Luton TownPort Vale

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Luton TownPort Vale
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Luton TownPort Vale
80%BTTS - last 540%
Luton TownPort Vale

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Luton TownPort Vale
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
Luton TownPort Vale
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Luton TownPort Vale

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Luton TownPort Vale
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
Luton TownPort Vale
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Luton TownPort Vale

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Luton Town is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.13 pts / match - Port Vale

Luton Town - half-time state
35% leading39% draw26% trailing
Port Vale - half-time state
22% leading48% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.13
Luton TownPort Vale
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.41
Luton TownPort Vale
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
Luton TownPort Vale
1.37Average goals (1st half)1
Luton TownPort Vale
59%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Luton TownPort Vale
43%No goal before half-time67%
Luton TownPort Vale

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)0.83
Luton TownPort Vale
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.37
Luton TownPort Vale
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
Luton TownPort Vale
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.11
Luton TownPort Vale
48%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Luton TownPort Vale
46%No goal after half-time76%
Luton TownPort Vale

Luton Town - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
66
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Port Vale - second-half results

13% W43% R43% P
52
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luton Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.0
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 6
Port Vale - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.20
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
9
9
0-15
11
7
16-30
16
11
31-45
10
11
46-60
7
9
61-75
15
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Port Vale
ScoredConceded
10
8
0-15
4
11
16-30
5
8
31-45
8
13
46-60
3
10
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Port Vale

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 28% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Luton TownLigaPort Vale
Average goals in match 2.702.62 2.11
Both teams scored 54%52% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%51% 39%
Clean sheets 28%27% 28%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 59%
Goal after half-time 80%81% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Luton Town 0 - 1 - 0 Port Vale. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Luton Town vs Port Vale?

The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 2:2 Port Vale. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Port Vale?

Luton Town score 1.48 goals per game on average and Port Vale 0.78. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Luton Town's matches and 35% of Port Vale's.

What form are Luton Town and Port Vale in?

Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Port Vale 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Port Vale?

The statistical background for Luton Town vs Port Vale — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.