Luzern vs Basel: match statistics
Basel displays a significantly better away form with a 50% win rate on the road, while Luzern wins only 17% of their home matches. The hosts are in very poor recent home form (dllddwdllldw) and concede an average of 2.25 goals per game in front of their own fans. Basel holds a superior possession advantage (56% vs 51%) and a higher average of shots on target (5.58 vs 4.42). Although the last 5 matches for both teams are not impressive, Basel has a definitively better overall season record (11 wins vs 7) and a neutral goal difference away from home, compared to Luzern's negative home goal difference (-1). The quality of play and Basel's away statistics point towards their victory in this fixture.
Luzern vs Basel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Luzern played Basel in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Luzern: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Basel: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Luzern scores 1.92 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Basel scores 1.48 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Luzern 76%, Basel 64%. Over 2.5: Luzern 76%, Basel 56%. League level: BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Basel has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.55. Luzern: 14.5 shots per match, Basel: 17.0.
Match halves
Luzern: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.04. Basel: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Luzern: 61-75 (12 goals). Basel: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Basel displays a significantly better away form with a 50% win rate on the road, while Luzern wins only 17% of their home matches. The hosts are in very poor recent home form (dllddwdllldw) and concede an average of 2.25 goals per game in front of their own fans. Basel holds a superior possession advantage (56% vs 51%) and a higher average of shots on target (5.58 vs 4.42). Although the last 5 matches for both teams are not impressive, Basel has a definitively better overall season record (11 wins vs 7) and a neutral goal difference away from home, compared to Luzern's negative home goal difference (-1). The quality of play and Basel's away statistics point towards their victory in this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Luzern | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luzern is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Luzern · 1.4 pts / match - Basel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzern is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Luzern · 1.48 goals / match - Basel
Basel is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Luzern · 1.2 goals / match - Basel
Luzern scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
Basel scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luzern
Over / Under - Basel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Basel is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Luzern · 1.52 pts / match - Basel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luzern - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Basel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Luzern
Basel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Luzern | Liga | Basel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.80 | 3.33 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 19% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Luzern 1 - 0 - 1 Basel. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Luzern vs Basel?
The Super League match finished Luzern 4:2 Basel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Luzern and Basel?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Luzern won 1, Basel won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Luzern vs Basel?
Luzern score 1.92 goals per game on average and Basel 1.48. The Super League average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Luzern's matches and 64% of Basel's.
What form are Luzern and Basel in?
Over the last 5 games Luzern have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Basel 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luzern vs Basel?
The statistical background for Luzern vs Basel — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.