Luzern vs Lugano: match statistics
Lugano displays significantly better form over the last five matches, posting a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat (10 points from a possible 15), while Luzern has managed only 3 points in the same period. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a superior seasonal record (10 wins compared to the hosts' 5), despite playing away. Lugano boasts higher average possession (58% vs 50%) and superior defensive solidity on the road, keeping clean sheets in 44% of away games. Luzern's home form is poor, with only an 11% win rate and a 44% loss rate, making them the clear underdogs. Although Luzern averages 2 goals per home game, their defense is porous (conceding 1.89 goals on average), a weakness likely to be exploited by a Lugano side that has scored 9 goals in their last five outings.
Luzern vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Luzern played Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:5.
Current form
Luzern: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lugano: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Luzern scores 1.84 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Lugano scores 1.47 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Luzern 74%, Lugano 53%. Over 2.5: Luzern 79%, Lugano 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Luzern has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.49. Luzern: 14.5 shots per match, Lugano: 13.7.
Match halves
Luzern: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.00. Lugano: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Luzern: 61-75 (9 goals). Lugano: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lugano displays significantly better form over the last five matches, posting a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat (10 points from a possible 15), while Luzern has managed only 3 points in the same period. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a superior seasonal record (10 wins compared to the hosts' 5), despite playing away. Lugano boasts higher average possession (58% vs 50%) and superior defensive solidity on the road, keeping clean sheets in 44% of away games. Luzern's home form is poor, with only an 11% win rate and a 44% loss rate, making them the clear underdogs. Although Luzern averages 2 goals per home game, their defense is porous (conceding 1.89 goals on average), a weakness likely to be exploited by a Lugano side that has scored 9 goals in their last five outings.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Luzern | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Luzern · 2.2 pts / match - Lugano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzern is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.84 goals / match - Luzern · 1.47 goals / match - Lugano
Lugano is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Luzern · 1.21 goals / match - Lugano
Luzern scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Lugano scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luzern
Over / Under - Lugano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luzern - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Luzern
Lugano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Luzern | Liga | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.68 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 82% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Luzern 0 - 0 - 1 Lugano. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Luzern vs Lugano?
The Super League match finished Luzern 2:5 Lugano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luzern vs Lugano?
Luzern score 1.84 goals per game on average and Lugano 1.47. The Super League average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Luzern's matches and 53% of Lugano's.
What form are Luzern and Lugano in?
Over the last 5 games Luzern have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lugano 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luzern vs Lugano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.