Luzern vs Winterthur: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Luzern played Winterthur in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Luzern: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Luzern scores 2.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Winterthur scores 1.14 and concedes 2.93. League average: 3.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Luzern 79%, Winterthur 57%. Over 2.5: Luzern 79%, Winterthur 86%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 71%.

xG, shots and style

Luzern has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.21. Luzern: 13.6 shots per match, Winterthur: 11.1.

Match halves

Luzern: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.93. Winterthur: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Luzern: 0-15 (8 goals). Winterthur: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 71%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

67Possession (%)33
LuzernWinterthur
26Shots10
LuzernWinterthur
7Shots on target5
LuzernWinterthur
2.73xG1.21
LuzernWinterthur
11Corners4
LuzernWinterthur
85Dangerous attacks31
LuzernWinterthur
15Fouls5
LuzernWinterthur
2Cards3
LuzernWinterthur

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.14
LuzernWinterthur
1.71Goals conceded / match2.93
LuzernWinterthur
49%Average possession46%
LuzernWinterthur
4.36Shots on target / match3.64
LuzernWinterthur

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.57Shots per match11.07
LuzernWinterthur
4.36Shots on target3.64
LuzernWinterthur
14.7%Shot conversion10.3%
LuzernWinterthur
49%Possession46%
LuzernWinterthur
1.47xG for1.21
LuzernWinterthur
1.7xG against2.1
LuzernWinterthur

Shooting quality

Luzern: Efficient finishingWinterthur: Balanced
LuzernWinterthur
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Luzern is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Luzern · 0.8 pts / match - Winterthur

Luzern
DLWLD
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-4
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Winterthur
DLWLL
Season result split
7% W21% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-10
0.43 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 2.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Luzern is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Luzern · 1.14 goals / match - Winterthur

Luzern is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.71 goals / match - Luzern · 2.93 goals / match - Winterthur

Luzern scoring profile: very strong

Luzern scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).

Winterthur scoring profile: strong

Winterthur scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).

28Goals scored (season)16
LuzernWinterthur
24Goals conceded (season)41
LuzernWinterthur
3.71Average goals in match4.07
LuzernWinterthur
12Goals scored (last 5)6
LuzernWinterthur
9Goals conceded (last 5)13
LuzernWinterthur

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal57%
LuzernWinterthur
64%2 goals43%
LuzernWinterthur
21%3 goals7%
LuzernWinterthur
7%4 goals7%
LuzernWinterthur

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal100%
LuzernWinterthur
71%2 goals86%
LuzernWinterthur
14%3 goals64%
LuzernWinterthur
0%4 goals29%
LuzernWinterthur

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time7%
LuzernWinterthur
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LuzernWinterthur
36%Scored in both halves21%
LuzernWinterthur

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
LuzernWinterthur
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS36%
LuzernWinterthur
60%BTTS - last 540%
LuzernWinterthur

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
LuzernWinterthur
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
LuzernWinterthur
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
LuzernWinterthur

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
LuzernWinterthur
79%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
LuzernWinterthur
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
LuzernWinterthur

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Luzern is 144% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.93 pts / match - Luzern · 0.79 pts / match - Winterthur

Luzern - half-time state
50% leading43% draw7% trailing
Winterthur - half-time state
21% leading14% draw64% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.93Points per match (1st half)0.79
LuzernWinterthur
1.07Goals scored (1st half)0.36
LuzernWinterthur
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)1.36
LuzernWinterthur
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.71
LuzernWinterthur
79%Clean sheet before half-time36%
LuzernWinterthur
36%No goal before half-time71%
LuzernWinterthur

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)0.93
LuzernWinterthur
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
LuzernWinterthur
1.36Goals conceded (2nd half)1.57
LuzernWinterthur
2.29Average goals (2nd half)2.36
LuzernWinterthur
29%Clean sheet after half-time21%
LuzernWinterthur
36%No goal after half-time50%
LuzernWinterthur

Luzern - second-half results

21% W29% D50% L
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding58%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Winterthur - second-half results

29% W7% D64% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luzern - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Winterthur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.41.2
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Luzern
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
8
46-60
8
5
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Winterthur
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
3
7
16-30
1
6
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
9
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Luzern

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Winterthur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.89
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

LuzernLigaWinterthur
Average goals in match 3.713.30 4.07
Both teams scored 79%65% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 79%71% 86%
Clean sheets 14%19% 0%
Goal before half-time 71%76% 86%
Goal after half-time 93%85% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.30
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.87
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. WinterthurYellow cardThéo Golliard
  2. LuzernYellow cardTyron Owusu
  3. WinterthurGoalPajtim Kasami
  4. LuzernSubstitutionOn: Kevin SpadanudaOff: Oscar Kabwit tshikomb
  5. WinterthurYellow cardFabian Daniel Rohner
  6. WinterthurGoalAndrin Hunziker
  7. LuzernSubstitutionOn: Adrian GrbicOff: Sinan Karweina
  8. LuzernYellow cardAdrian Grbic
  9. WinterthurGoalElias Maluvunu
  10. WinterthurSubstitutionOn: Silvan SidlerOff: Fabian Daniel Rohner
  11. WinterthurYellow cardAlexandre Jankewitz

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Luca CibelliMatches officiated: 17
6.29Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins12%Draws35%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Luzern 0 - 1 - 0 Winterthur. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FC Winterthur
2 : 2
FC Luzern

FAQ

What was the result of Luzern vs Winterthur?

The Super League match finished Luzern 1:3 Winterthur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luzern vs Winterthur?

Luzern score 2.00 goals per game on average and Winterthur 1.14. The Super League average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Luzern's matches and 57% of Winterthur's.

What form are Luzern and Winterthur in?

Over the last 5 games Luzern have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Winterthur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luzern vs Winterthur?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Luzern vs Winterthur: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.