Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics
Luzino boasts an impressive home form with a 73% win rate at their ground and a home goal difference of +17. The hosts average 2.64 goals per home game with a shot conversion rate of 17%, which exceeds the defensive capabilities of Noteć Czarnków, who concede an average of 1.56 goals on the road. Noteć wins only 44% of their away matches and fails to score in as many as 33% of them; with a mere 1.56 average goals scored away, they find themselves in a difficult position. The recent form over the last five matches also favors the hosts - Luzino has earned 12 points (4 wins), while Noteć has secured 9 points with greater inconsistency. Additionally, Luzino maintains a 45% clean sheet rate at home, which, combined with the visitors' weaker offensive output, provides solid grounds for predicting a confident home victory.
Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Luzino played Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Luzino: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Noteć Czarnków: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Luzino scores 2.23 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Noteć Czarnków scores 1.50 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Luzino 68%, Noteć Czarnków 45%. Over 2.5: Luzino 73%, Noteć Czarnków 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.73. Luzino: 11.1 shots per match, Noteć Czarnków: 9.9.
Match halves
Luzino: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.27. Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Luzino: 76-90+ (13 goals). Noteć Czarnków: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Luzino boasts an impressive home form with a 73% win rate at their ground and a home goal difference of +17. The hosts average 2.64 goals per home game with a shot conversion rate of 17%, which exceeds the defensive capabilities of Noteć Czarnków, who concede an average of 1.56 goals on the road. Noteć wins only 44% of their away matches and fails to score in as many as 33% of them; with a mere 1.56 average goals scored away, they find themselves in a difficult position. The recent form over the last five matches also favors the hosts - Luzino has earned 12 points (4 wins), while Noteć has secured 9 points with greater inconsistency. Additionally, Luzino maintains a 45% clean sheet rate at home, which, combined with the visitors' weaker offensive output, provides solid grounds for predicting a confident home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Luzino | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luzino is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Luzino · 1.8 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzino is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
2.23 goals / match - Luzino · 1.5 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Luzino is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Luzino · 1.41 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Luzino scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Noteć Czarnków scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Luzino keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luzino
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luzino is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Luzino · 1.09 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luzino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Luzino
Noteć Czarnków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Luzino | Liga | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 2.90 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Luzino 1 - 0 - 0 Noteć Czarnków. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Luzino 3:0 Noteć Czarnków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?
Luzino score 2.23 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 1.50. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Luzino's matches and 45% of Noteć Czarnków's.
What form are Luzino and Noteć Czarnków in?
Over the last 5 games Luzino have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.