Lyngby vs SønderjyskE: match statistics

Lyngby have been clearly more consistent in recent weeks, collecting 8 points from five matches and winning 2 of them, while SønderjyskE have lost 4 of their last 5 games and picked up just 3 points. The hosts create more chances at home, averaging 16.33 shots per match with an xG of 1.77, compared with 9.67 shots and an xG of 1.11 for the visitors away from home. SønderjyskE’s defence looks particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.33 goals away from home and allowing opponents an xG of 2.14, with all of their away fixtures so far ending in defeat. Lyngby average 1.33 goals scored at home and have not failed to score there, although three of their home matches have ended in draws, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested result. Their advantage in the quality of chances created, possession at 50% to 40%, and significantly better current form all point towards a home win.

SønderjyskE have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season and concede an average of 2.33 goals, which significantly increases Lyngby’s chances of scoring. The hosts generate an average of 1.30 xG per match, rising to 1.44 over their last five fixtures, in which they scored 6 goals in total. Lyngby also have defensive issues: across the season, they allow opponents 1.95 xG, while SønderjyskE have averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches. BTTS - Yes occurred in 60% of the last five matches for both teams, while the away side’s season figure stands at 67%, compared with the league average of 56%. The biggest risk is Lyngby’s defensive improvement, having conceded only 4 goals in their last five matches; however, the visitors’ defensive frailties make a Goal/Goal scenario more likely.

The match profile points toward goals, as Lyngby concede an average of 2.75 goals at home, while SønderjyskE concede 2.33 away from home. The hosts create an average of 1.30 xG, whereas the visitors’ defence allows opponents 2.14 xG, significantly increasing Lyngby’s attacking potential. In their last five matches, SønderjyskE conceded as many as 14 goals—2.8 per game—while averaging 1.4 goals scored. At least three goals were scored in 75% of Lyngby’s matches and 67% of SønderjyskE’s, but the strongest signal remains the Over 1.5 goals line. Over 1.5 goals is favoured due to both sides’ high goals-conceded figures and the projected total of 2.90 goals.

The strongest HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Lyngby win (X/1), as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while SønderjyskE were trailing at that stage in as many as 80%. During this period, Lyngby conceded just 0.2 goals per match before half-time and kept a clean sheet in the first half in 80% of their appearances, whereas the visitors allowed opponents to score 1.6 goals. After the break, the hosts averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while SønderjyskE conceded 1.2 goals, favouring a turnaround in a balanced match towards the home side. Lyngby’s advantage is further reinforced by their superior recent form: 1.6 points per match over the last five rounds compared with the visitors’ 0.6, as well as just 0.8 goals conceded per match versus SønderjyskE’s 2.8.