Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners: match statistics
Central Coast Mariners exhibit significantly better form in the last five matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game), whereas Macarthur has failed to win any of their last five, securing just 0.4 points per game. The hosts struggle at home (30% wins, 40% draws) and leak goals (averaging 1.7 per match), highlighting their defensive frailties. Central Coast Mariners display superior efficiency on the road (15% shot conversion vs 11% for the hosts) and a better scoring average (1.5 vs 1.4). Although the visitors have a modest overall away record for the season (38% wins), their current form and advantage in key offensive and defensive metrics favor their victory. Furthermore, the contrast in momentum (the visitors' unbeaten run vs the hosts' winless streak) is a decisive factor in this prediction.
Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Macarthur played Central Coast Mariners in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Macarthur: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Central Coast Mariners: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Macarthur scores 1.26 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Central Coast Mariners scores 1.33 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Macarthur 53%, Central Coast Mariners 61%. Over 2.5: Macarthur 37%, Central Coast Mariners 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Macarthur has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.04. Macarthur: 14.4 shots per match, Central Coast Mariners: 9.6.
Match halves
Macarthur: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79. Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Macarthur: 61-75 (9 goals). Central Coast Mariners: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Central Coast Mariners exhibit significantly better form in the last five matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game), whereas Macarthur has failed to win any of their last five, securing just 0.4 points per game. The hosts struggle at home (30% wins, 40% draws) and leak goals (averaging 1.7 per match), highlighting their defensive frailties. Central Coast Mariners display superior efficiency on the road (15% shot conversion vs 11% for the hosts) and a better scoring average (1.5 vs 1.4). Although the visitors have a modest overall away record for the season (38% wins), their current form and advantage in key offensive and defensive metrics favor their victory. Furthermore, the contrast in momentum (the visitors' unbeaten run vs the hosts' winless streak) is a decisive factor in this prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Macarthur | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Coast Mariners is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Macarthur · 2.2 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Coast Mariners is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Macarthur · 1.33 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Central Coast Mariners scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Macarthur keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Macarthur
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Macarthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Macarthur | Liga | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.74 | 2.79 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Macarthur 0 - 1 - 0 Central Coast Mariners. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?
The A-League match finished Macarthur 1:3 Central Coast Mariners. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?
Macarthur score 1.26 goals per game on average and Central Coast Mariners 1.33. The A-League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Macarthur's matches and 61% of Central Coast Mariners's.
What form are Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners in?
Over the last 5 games Macarthur have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Central Coast Mariners 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.