Macarthur vs Melbourne City FC: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced confrontation between Macarthur and Melbourne City FC. The hosts occupy 6th place in the table and have weaker home form (29% wins, 43% draws), scoring an average of just 0.86 goals per match at home with a high failure-to-score rate (43% FTS%). Melbourne City FC, despite being 5th in the league, presents a solid defense on the road (67% clean sheets, average 0.83 goals conceded), yet also struggles with scoring (0.83 goals average away). Both teams show a high propensity for draws – Macarthur 43% in home matches, Melbourne City as much as 50% away. Considering the goal difference (Macarthur -3 at home, Melbourne City 0 away), the guests' possession advantage (55% vs 45%), and similar xG values, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points.
Macarthur vs Melbourne City FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Macarthur played Melbourne City FC in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
Macarthur: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Melbourne City FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Macarthur scores 1.07 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Melbourne City FC scores 1.00 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Macarthur 50%, Melbourne City FC 36%. Over 2.5: Macarthur 29%, Melbourne City FC 29%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Melbourne City FC has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.42. Macarthur: 12.8 shots per match, Melbourne City FC: 13.0.
Match halves
Macarthur: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.64. Melbourne City FC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Macarthur: 61-75 (6 goals). Melbourne City FC: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced confrontation between Macarthur and Melbourne City FC. The hosts occupy 6th place in the table and have weaker home form (29% wins, 43% draws), scoring an average of just 0.86 goals per match at home with a high failure-to-score rate (43% FTS%). Melbourne City FC, despite being 5th in the league, presents a solid defense on the road (67% clean sheets, average 0.83 goals conceded), yet also struggles with scoring (0.83 goals average away). Both teams show a high propensity for draws – Macarthur 43% in home matches, Melbourne City as much as 50% away. Considering the goal difference (Macarthur -3 at home, Melbourne City 0 away), the guests' possession advantage (55% vs 45%), and similar xG values, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Macarthur | Melbourne City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Macarthur is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Macarthur · 1.4 pts / match - Melbourne City FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Macarthur is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Macarthur · 1 goals / match - Melbourne City FC
Melbourne City FC is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Macarthur · 0.86 goals / match - Melbourne City FC
Macarthur scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Melbourne City FC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
Melbourne City FC scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Macarthur keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Macarthur
Over / Under - Melbourne City FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melbourne City FC is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Macarthur · 1.36 pts / match - Melbourne City FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Macarthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Melbourne City FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Macarthur
Melbourne City FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Macarthur | Liga | Melbourne City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.66 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Macarthur 0 - 1 - 0 Melbourne City FC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Macarthur vs Melbourne City FC?
The A-League match finished Macarthur 6:2 Melbourne City FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Macarthur vs Melbourne City FC?
Macarthur score 1.07 goals per game on average and Melbourne City FC 1.00. The A-League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Macarthur's matches and 36% of Melbourne City FC's.
What form are Macarthur and Melbourne City FC in?
Over the last 5 games Macarthur have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melbourne City FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Macarthur vs Melbourne City FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.