Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: match statistics

Ironi Kiryat Shmona enter the match in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 games and scored 9 goals during that run. Over the same period, Maccabi Petah Tikva have recorded just 2 victories and 3 defeats, scoring 6 goals. The visitors are also more solid defensively, conceding only 3 goals in five matches compared with 5 for the hosts. Ironi averaged 1.8 goals per game during their latest run, while Maccabi averaged 1.2. Combined with the visitors’ advantage in the table—9th place compared with 13th—this points to a higher probability of an away win. The hosts may benefit from home advantage, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, but an Ironi Kiryat Shmona victory is the most likely result.

The BTTS signal is moderately weak, as both teams followed this scenario in only 40% of their last 5 matches. Maccabi Petah Tikva averaged 1.2 goals, while Ironi Kiryat Shmona conceded just 0.6 goals per match and allowed only 3 goals in total across five appearances. The visitors are in good form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals during that period, which increases their chances of finding the net. However, the hosts have suffered three defeats in five matches, and their average xG against stands at 1.61, making a BTTS - No outcome more likely, with Maccabi Petah Tikva the main candidate to fail to score.

Data from the last 5 matches indicates goal-scoring potential at both ends: Maccabi Petah Tikva averaged 1.2 goals, while Ironi Kiryat Shmona averaged as many as 1.8. The hosts’ matches produced an average of 2.2 goals, compared with 2.4 in the visitors’ games, and 3 of the last 5 matches for both teams ended with at least three goals. The chance-quality indicators are even higher, with average xG of 1.56 for the hosts and 2.00 for the visitors. Ironi’s defense conceded only 0.6 goals per match during this run, but Maccabi allowed opponents an xG of 1.61, strengthening the outlook for an away goal. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, as the combination of both teams’ attacking trends gives a high probability of more than two goals being scored.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Ironi Kiryat Shmona win at full-time, as Maccabi Petah Tikva were level at the break in each of their last five matches. The hosts averaged just 0.2 goals before half-time, and in as many as 80% of those games they failed to score in the first half. The visitors have been significantly more effective recently: they won four of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, compared with Maccabi’s averages of 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. After the break, Ironi Kiryat Shmona averaged 1.0 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded, so with a cautious start likely, they have stronger grounds to turn the game in their favour in the second half.