Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias: match statistics

Maccabi Petah Tikva have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals during that period, while Ironi Tiberias have suffered 4 defeats, conceding as many as 10 goals. The hosts have won 100% of their matches at home so far, averaging 2 goals per game and failing to score on none of those occasions. The visitors have lost every away match, have not scored a single goal and concede an average of 2 goals per game. Maccabi create fewer chances than their opponents, registering 11 shots compared to 14, but are significantly more efficient: they convert 18% of their attempts, while Ironi’s conversion rate stands at 0%. The visitors’ higher away xG of 1.39 compared to the hosts’ 1.22 suggests they could score a consolation goal, but their poor finishing and vulnerable defence strongly favour a Maccabi victory.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Ironi Tiberias’ poor finishing: the team averages 0.6 goals over its last 5 matches and failed to score in 100% of available season fixtures. The visitors do have an average xG of 1.27 across their last five appearances, but this has translated into just 3 goals, while their BTTS rate during this period is only 20%. Maccabi Petah Tikva are in significantly better form, scoring 9 goals in their last 5 matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Tiberias concede 2.0 goals per match. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season, and have conceded just 0.8 goals per game across their last five. Although the league-wide BTTS average stands at 57%, the more likely scenario appears to be a home win with the visitors failing to score rather than both teams finding the net.

Maccabi Petah Tikva have averaged 1.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Ironi Tiberias have conceded as many as 2.0 goals per game over the same period. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 9 goals in total, which stands in clear contrast to the visitors’ record of 3 goals scored and 10 conceded. The attacking potential of both sides is also supported by their xG figures: 1.47 for Maccabi and 1.27 for Ironi, alongside high xG allowed by their respective defenses—1.74 and 1.80. The Over 1.5 goals line has the edge, as it combines the hosts’ strong attacking form with the visitors’ defensive weaknesses, while the projected total of 2.78 goals provides a solid margin above the required two goals. Caution is warranted with higher lines, as both teams have recorded 100% of matches below 2.5 goals in the available season data; therefore, Over 2.5 remains only slightly likely.

Maccabi Petah Tikva are in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Ironi Tiberias have lost 4 of their last 5 games and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. The first half should nevertheless be cautious, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five appearances, compared with 60% for the visitors; Maccabi averaged 0.6 goals before half-time, while Ironi managed just 0.2. After the interval, the hosts' advantage increases: they score an average of 1.2 goals in the second half, compared with 0.4 for the visitors, who also concede 1.2 goals per game after the break. In addition, at least one goal was scored after half-time in all 5 of both teams' most recent matches, and Maccabi won the second half in 60% of those games. The most logical HT/FT outcome is therefore a draw at half-time followed by a Maccabi Petah Tikva win: X/1.