Japan - J1 LeagueMachida Athletic StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Machida Zelvia play Avispa Fukuoka in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Machida Athletic Stadium.

Current form

Machida Zelvia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Avispa Fukuoka: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Machida Zelvia scores 2.44 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Avispa Fukuoka scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Machida Zelvia 78%, Avispa Fukuoka 56%. Over 2.5: Machida Zelvia 67%, Avispa Fukuoka 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Machida Zelvia has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.41. Machida Zelvia: 13.1 shots per match, Avispa Fukuoka: 12.6.

Match halves

Machida Zelvia: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.56. Avispa Fukuoka: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Machida Zelvia: 76-90+ (7 goals). Avispa Fukuoka: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.72)
(3.73)
(5.02)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
2.44Goals scored / match1.22
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
1.11Goals conceded / match1.44
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
49%Average possession40%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
4.89Shots on target / match4.78
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.11Shots per match12.56
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
4.89Shots on target4.78
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
18.6%Shot conversion9.7%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
49%Possession40%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
1.5xG for1.41
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
1.44xG against1.42
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

Shooting quality

Machida Zelvia: Efficient finishingAvispa Fukuoka: Balanced
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Machida Zelvia is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Machida Zelvia · 0.8 pts / match - Avispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia
WWDLW
Season result split
67% W22% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-1
2.22 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Avispa Fukuoka
LDLLW
Season result split
22% W11% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-6
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Machida Zelvia is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

2.44 goals / match - Machida Zelvia · 1.22 goals / match - Avispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Machida Zelvia · 1.44 goals / match - Avispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia scoring profile: very strong

Machida Zelvia scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Avispa Fukuoka keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

Avispa Fukuoka scoring profile: very strong

Avispa Fukuoka scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

22Goals scored (season)11
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
10Goals conceded (season)13
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
3.56Average goals in match2.67
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
9Goals scored (last 5)5
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
67%2 goals44%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
44%3 goals11%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
22%4 goals0%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal89%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
11%2 goals33%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
11%3 goals22%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
11%4 goals0%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time22%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
56%Scored in both halves33%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
80%BTTS - last 560%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Machida Zelvia is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Machida Zelvia · 1.44 pts / match - Avispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Avispa Fukuoka - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)1.44
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.11
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
33%No goal before half-time56%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

After half-time (2nd half)

2.44Points per match (2nd half)0.78
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
1.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
2.22Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
67%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
11%No goal after half-time44%
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia - second-half results

78% W11% D11% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Avispa Fukuoka - second-half results

11% W44% D44% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Machida Zelvia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.40
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.62.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Avispa Fukuoka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Machida Zelvia
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
1
61-75
7
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Avispa Fukuoka
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Machida Zelvia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.94
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Avispa Fukuoka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Machida ZelviaLigaAvispa Fukuoka
Average goals in match▲ 3.562.91▼ 2.67
Both teams scored▲ 78%59%▼ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 56%
Clean sheets• 22%23%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time• 89%88%• 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Machida Zelvia 0 - 2 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FC Machida Zelvia
0 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2
FC Machida Zelvia

FAQ

When do Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka play?

Machida Zelvia face Avispa Fukuoka on 18 October 2026 in J1 League at Machida Athletic Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 0, Avispa Fukuoka won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia score 2.44 goals per game on average and Avispa Fukuoka 1.22. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Machida Zelvia's matches and 56% of Avispa Fukuoka's.

What form are Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka in?

Over the last 5 games Machida Zelvia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Avispa Fukuoka 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The statistical background for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.