Madura United vs Arema: match statistics
Arema are in significantly better form than Madura United, as confirmed by recent results – the visitors have won four out of their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per game, while the hosts have not won any of their last five matches (0.4 points per game). Madura United are in 14th place in the table with a 50% loss rate at home and only 20% home wins, making them one of the weakest teams in the league. Arema have a positive goal difference away from home (+1) and a more effective offense (1.1 goals per away game vs. 1.0 for the hosts at home), along with a better defense (1.0 conceded per game vs. 1.4). xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.38 vs. 1.33), and their form and table position (8th place) suggest a quality advantage. Considering all factors, Arema have a realistic chance of winning, although their high away draw percentage (50%) warrants caution in predictions.
Madura United vs Arema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Madura United played Arema in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Madura United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Arema: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Madura United scores 0.95 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Arema scores 1.38 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Madura United 48%, Arema 67%. Over 2.5: Madura United 43%, Arema 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Arema has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.18. Madura United: 9.9 shots per match, Arema: 11.8.
Match halves
Madura United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52. Arema: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Madura United: 31-45+ (5 goals). Arema: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arema are in significantly better form than Madura United, as confirmed by recent results – the visitors have won four out of their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per game, while the hosts have not won any of their last five matches (0.4 points per game). Madura United are in 14th place in the table with a 50% loss rate at home and only 20% home wins, making them one of the weakest teams in the league. Arema have a positive goal difference away from home (+1) and a more effective offense (1.1 goals per away game vs. 1.0 for the hosts at home), along with a better defense (1.0 conceded per game vs. 1.4). xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.38 vs. 1.33), and their form and table position (8th place) suggest a quality advantage. Considering all factors, Arema have a realistic chance of winning, although their high away draw percentage (50%) warrants caution in predictions.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Madura United | Arema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arema is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Madura United · 2.4 pts / match - Arema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arema is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Madura United · 1.38 goals / match - Arema
Arema is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Madura United · 1.19 goals / match - Arema
Madura United scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Arema scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Madura United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Madura United
Over / Under - Arema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arema is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Madura United · 1.38 pts / match - Arema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Madura United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Madura United
Arema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Madura United | Liga | Arema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.60 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Madura United 0 - 1 - 0 Arema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Madura United vs Arema?
The Liga 1 match finished Madura United 2:2 Arema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Madura United vs Arema?
Madura United score 0.95 goals per game on average and Arema 1.38. The Liga 1 average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Madura United's matches and 67% of Arema's.
What form are Madura United and Arema in?
Over the last 5 games Madura United have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Arema 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Madura United vs Arema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Madura United vs Arema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.