Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: match statistics
Mainz 05 are showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game and recording three victories, while Augsburg only have 1.6 points per match. The hosts have an advantage in home matches with a higher average xG (1.52 vs Augsburg's 1.36 away) and better offensive efficiency in recent matches (10 goals in the last 5 games). Augsburg display serious defensive issues on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away matches this season. Although Mainz only have a 20% win rate at home, their current form (two recent victories) and Augsburg's weakness away (67% defeats) speak in favor of the hosts. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for Mainz, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' average defensive records.
Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mainz 05 played Augsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Mainz 05: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Augsburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mainz 05 scores 1.15 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Augsburg scores 1.20 and concedes 1.85. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mainz 05 60%, Augsburg 60%. Over 2.5: Mainz 05 55%, Augsburg 65%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Augsburg has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.33. Mainz 05: 11.3 shots per match, Augsburg: 12.7.
Match halves
Mainz 05: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Augsburg: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Mainz 05: 61-75 (6 goals). Augsburg: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mainz 05 are showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game and recording three victories, while Augsburg only have 1.6 points per match. The hosts have an advantage in home matches with a higher average xG (1.52 vs Augsburg's 1.36 away) and better offensive efficiency in recent matches (10 goals in the last 5 games). Augsburg display serious defensive issues on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away matches this season. Although Mainz only have a 20% win rate at home, their current form (two recent victories) and Augsburg's weakness away (67% defeats) speak in favor of the hosts. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for Mainz, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' average defensive records.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mainz 05 | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mainz 05 is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 1.6 pts / match - Augsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 1.85 goals / match - Augsburg
Mainz 05 scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Augsburg keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Augsburg scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mainz 05
Over / Under - Augsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 1.05 pts / match - Augsburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Augsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mainz 05
Augsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Mainz 05 | Liga | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.19 | ▼ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mainz 05 1 - 0 - 0 Augsburg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mainz 05 vs Augsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Mainz 05 2:0 Augsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Augsburg?
Mainz 05 score 1.15 goals per game on average and Augsburg 1.20. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Mainz 05's matches and 60% of Augsburg's.
What form are Mainz 05 and Augsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Augsburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Augsburg?
The statistical background for Mainz 05 vs Augsburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.