Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: match statistics
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Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mainz 05 play Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Mewa Arena.
Current form
Mainz 05: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Bayern München: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mainz 05 scores 2.13 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Bayern München scores 3.38 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mainz 05 63%, Bayern München 75%. Over 2.5: Mainz 05 75%, Bayern München 88%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Bayern München has higher xG: 2.73 vs 1.88. Mainz 05: 16.8 shots per match, Bayern München: 23.3.
Match halves
Mainz 05: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13. Bayern München: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Mainz 05: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bayern München: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mainz 05 | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayern München is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 2.2 pts / match - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 3.38 goals / match - Bayern München
Bayern München is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.13 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 1 goals / match - Bayern München
Mainz 05 scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Bayern München scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mainz 05
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 2.38 pts / match - Bayern München
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mainz 05
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Mainz 05 | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.50 | ▲ 4.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 88% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mainz 05 0 - 1 - 1 Bayern München. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Mainz 05 and Bayern München play?
Mainz 05 face Bayern München on 7 November 2026 in Bundesliga at Mewa Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mainz 05 won 0, Bayern München won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
Mainz 05 score 2.13 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.38. The Bundesliga average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Mainz 05's matches and 75% of Bayern München's.
What form are Mainz 05 and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bayern München 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.