Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mainz 05 played Hoffenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Mainz 05: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hoffenheim: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mainz 05 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Hoffenheim scores 2.10 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mainz 05 50%, Hoffenheim 80%. Over 2.5: Mainz 05 40%, Hoffenheim 80%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.39. Mainz 05: 11.8 shots per match, Hoffenheim: 12.9.

Match halves

Mainz 05: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.50. Hoffenheim: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Mainz 05: 31-45+ (3 goals). Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
17Shots19
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
3Shots on target5
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1.64xG1.97
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
7Corners4
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
49Dangerous attacks58
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
13Fouls13
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
5Cards2
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2.1
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1.8Goals conceded / match1.6
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
49%Average possession52%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
2.8Shots on target / match5
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.8Shots per match12.9
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
2.8Shots on target5
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
8.5%Shot conversion16.3%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
49%Possession52%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1.39xG for1.51
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1.51xG against1.39
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

Shooting quality

Mainz 05: BalancedHoffenheim: Efficient finishing
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
Accuracy (shots on target)24%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hoffenheim is 1100% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 2.4 pts / match - Hoffenheim

Mainz 05
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
10% W20% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-7
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hoffenheim
LWWWW
Season result split
60% W10% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-3
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hoffenheim is 110% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 2.1 goals / match - Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 1.6 goals / match - Hoffenheim

Mainz 05 scoring profile: strong

Mainz 05 scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Hoffenheim scoring profile: very strong

Hoffenheim scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

10Goals scored (season)21
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
18Goals conceded (season)16
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
2.8Average goals in match3.7
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
5Goals scored (last 5)12
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
12Goals conceded (last 5)5
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal90%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
20%2 goals60%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
20%3 goals50%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
10%4 goals10%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal90%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
40%2 goals40%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
20%3 goals20%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
20%4 goals10%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
10%BTTS in both halves10%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
20%Scored in both halves50%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
60%BTTS - last 560%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time70%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hoffenheim is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.9 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 1.3 pts / match - Hoffenheim

Mainz 05 - half-time state
20% leading30% draw50% trailing
Hoffenheim - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.9Points per match (1st half)1.3
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.9
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.7
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
40%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
60%No goal before half-time40%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.7
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
1.3Average goals (2nd half)2
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
30%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim
70%No goal after half-time20%
Mainz 05Hoffenheim

Mainz 05 - second-half results

30% W20% D50% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hoffenheim - second-half results

40% W50% D10% L
13
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mainz 05 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Hoffenheim - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mainz 05
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Hoffenheim
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
1
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mainz 05

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Hoffenheim

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Mainz 05LigaHoffenheim
Average goals in match 2.803.21 3.70
Both teams scored 50%56% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%63% 80%
Clean sheets 0%24% 10%
Goal before half-time 80%80% 90%
Goal after half-time 80%81% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.72
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HoffenheimAssistWouter BurgerGoal: Andreas Schjølberg Hanche-Olsen
  2. Mainz 05Yellow cardSilvan Widmer
  3. HoffenheimSubstitutionOn: Tim LemperleOff: Andrej Kramarić
  4. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Nelson Felix Patrick WeiperOff: Jae-Sung Lee
  5. HoffenheimYellow cardRobin Hranáč
  6. HoffenheimSubstitutionOn: Max MoerstedtOff: Bazoumana Touré
  7. Mainz 05Red cardDominik Kohr
  8. HoffenheimSubstitutionOn: Ihlas BebouOff: Fisnik Asllani
  9. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Stefan BellOff: Benedict Hollerbach
  10. Mainz 05Yellow cardNadiem Amiri
  11. Mainz 05Yellow cardPhillipp Mwene

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim?

The Bundesliga match finished Mainz 05 1:1 Hoffenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim?

Mainz 05 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim 2.10. The Bundesliga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's matches and 80% of Hoffenheim's.

What form are Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim in?

Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hoffenheim 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.