Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mainz 05 played St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Mainz 05: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. St. Pauli: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mainz 05 scores 0.93 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. St. Pauli scores 0.93 and concedes 1.86. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mainz 05 50%, St. Pauli 50%. Over 2.5: Mainz 05 43%, St. Pauli 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

St. Pauli has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.25. Mainz 05: 10.6 shots per match, St. Pauli: 10.9.

Match halves

Mainz 05: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50. St. Pauli: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Mainz 05: 31-45+ (4 goals). St. Pauli: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
Mainz 05St. Pauli
13Shots5
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1Shots on target1
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1.27xG0.6
Mainz 05St. Pauli
9Corners5
Mainz 05St. Pauli
51Dangerous attacks28
Mainz 05St. Pauli
5Fouls9
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1Cards1
Mainz 05St. Pauli

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.93Goals scored / match0.93
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1.86Goals conceded / match1.86
Mainz 05St. Pauli
45%Average possession48%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
2.57Shots on target / match3.57
Mainz 05St. Pauli

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.64Shots per match10.93
Mainz 05St. Pauli
2.57Shots on target3.57
Mainz 05St. Pauli
8.7%Shot conversion8.5%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
45%Possession48%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1.25xG for1.29
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1.71xG against1.4
Mainz 05St. Pauli

Shooting quality

Mainz 05: BalancedSt. Pauli: Balanced
Mainz 05St. Pauli
Accuracy (shots on target)24%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

St. Pauli is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 0.8 pts / match - St. Pauli

Mainz 05
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W29% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-9
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-5
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
St. Pauli
LLLDW
Season result split
21% W14% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-9
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mainz 05 scoring profile: strong

Mainz 05 scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).

St. Pauli scoring profile: very strong

St. Pauli scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).

13Goals scored (season)13
Mainz 05St. Pauli
26Goals conceded (season)26
Mainz 05St. Pauli
2.79Average goals in match2.79
Mainz 05St. Pauli
3Goals scored (last 5)5
Mainz 05St. Pauli
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
Mainz 05St. Pauli

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal57%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
21%2 goals29%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
14%3 goals7%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
7%4 goals0%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal93%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
43%2 goals57%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
21%3 goals29%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
21%4 goals7%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
14%BTTS in both halves0%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
21%Scored in both halves21%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
40%BTTS - last 580%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mainz 05 - half-time state
14% leading36% draw50% trailing
St. Pauli - half-time state
14% leading36% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.79Points per match (1st half)0.79
Mainz 05St. Pauli
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.14
Mainz 05St. Pauli
36%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
64%No goal before half-time64%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1
Mainz 05St. Pauli
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Mainz 05St. Pauli
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Mainz 05St. Pauli
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.64
Mainz 05St. Pauli
29%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Mainz 05St. Pauli
64%No goal after half-time57%
Mainz 05St. Pauli

Mainz 05 - second-half results

29% W21% R50% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

St. Pauli - second-half results

21% W36% R43% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mainz 05 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
St. Pauli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mainz 05
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

St. Pauli
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
7
31-45
3
7
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mainz 05

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

St. Pauli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Mainz 05LigaSt. Pauli
Average goals in match 2.793.17 2.79
Both teams scored 50%56% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%61% 57%
Clean sheets 0%25% 7%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 86%
Goal after half-time 86%81% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Mainz 05Yellow cardKaishu Sano
  2. St. PauliSubstitutionOn: Ricky Jade-JonesOff: Andreas Hountondji
  3. St. PauliYellow cardMathias Pereira Lage
  4. St. PauliSubstitutionOn: Lars RitzkaOff: Louis Oppie
  5. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Armindo SiebOff: Benedict Hollerbach
  6. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Nikolas VeratschnigOff: Silvan Widmer
  7. St. PauliSubstitutionOn: Danel SinaniOff: Mathias Pereira Lage
  8. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Nelson Felix Patrick WeiperOff: Nadiem Amiri

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Matthias JöllenbeckMatches officiated: 14
3.86Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins36%Draws21%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli?

The Bundesliga match finished Mainz 05 0:0 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli?

Mainz 05 score 0.93 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.93. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's matches and 50% of St. Pauli's.

What form are Mainz 05 and St. Pauli in?

Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and St. Pauli 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.