Málaga CF vs Burgos CF: match statistics
Málaga CF presents excellent disposition, winning all of their last five matches and scoring 11 goals in them with only 4 conceded. The hosts have an impressive home record with 55% wins and only 9% losses, additionally noting a high shot conversion rate (12%) and an advantage in possession (51%). Burgos CF has weaker away form with 40% losses and only 2.9 shots on target per match, and their last five meetings brought only 1.4 points per match. Also key is Málaga's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.75 vs 1.06), which confirms their offensive dominance. The difference in form and home/away statistics clearly favors the hosts, although Burgos is capable of scoring points away, justifying some probability of a draw or surprise.
Málaga CF vs Burgos CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Málaga CF played Burgos CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Málaga CF: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Burgos CF: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Málaga CF scores 1.45 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Burgos CF scores 1.18 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Málaga CF 59%, Burgos CF 45%. Over 2.5: Málaga CF 55%, Burgos CF 36%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Málaga CF has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.16. Málaga CF: 12.6 shots per match, Burgos CF: 10.1.
Match halves
Málaga CF: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.77. Burgos CF: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Málaga CF: 31-45+ (8 goals). Burgos CF: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Málaga CF presents excellent disposition, winning all of their last five matches and scoring 11 goals in them with only 4 conceded. The hosts have an impressive home record with 55% wins and only 9% losses, additionally noting a high shot conversion rate (12%) and an advantage in possession (51%). Burgos CF has weaker away form with 40% losses and only 2.9 shots on target per match, and their last five meetings brought only 1.4 points per match. Also key is Málaga's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.75 vs 1.06), which confirms their offensive dominance. The difference in form and home/away statistics clearly favors the hosts, although Burgos is capable of scoring points away, justifying some probability of a draw or surprise.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Málaga CF | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Málaga CF is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Málaga CF · 2 pts / match - Burgos CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Málaga CF is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Málaga CF · 1.18 goals / match - Burgos CF
Burgos CF is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Málaga CF · 0.91 goals / match - Burgos CF
Málaga CF scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Burgos CF scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Málaga CF keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Málaga CF
Over / Under - Burgos CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Málaga CF is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Málaga CF · 1.23 pts / match - Burgos CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Málaga CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burgos CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Málaga CF
Burgos CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Málaga CF | Liga | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 49% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Málaga CF 0 - 0 - 1 Burgos CF. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Málaga CF vs Burgos CF?
The Segunda División match finished Málaga CF 3:0 Burgos CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Málaga CF vs Burgos CF?
Málaga CF score 1.45 goals per game on average and Burgos CF 1.18. The Segunda División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Málaga CF's matches and 45% of Burgos CF's.
What form are Málaga CF and Burgos CF in?
Over the last 5 games Málaga CF have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Burgos CF 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Málaga CF vs Burgos CF?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Málaga CF vs Burgos CF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.