Spain - La LigaEstadio La RosaledaData current as of 15 October 2026

Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Málaga CF play Real Sociedad in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda.

Current form

Málaga CF: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Real Sociedad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Málaga CF scores 0.50 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Real Sociedad scores 1.50 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Málaga CF 50%, Real Sociedad 63%. Over 2.5: Málaga CF 25%, Real Sociedad 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Real Sociedad has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.14. Málaga CF: 10.6 shots per match, Real Sociedad: 13.3.

Match halves

Málaga CF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25. Real Sociedad: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Málaga CF: 76-90+ (2 goals). Real Sociedad: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

La Liga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.10)
(3.55)
(2.15)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0.5Goals scored / match1.5
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
1.63Goals conceded / match1.88
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
52%Average possession48%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
2.63Shots on target / match5
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.63Shots per match13.25
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
2.63Shots on target5
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
4.7%Shot conversion11.3%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
52%Possession48%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
1.14xG for1.5
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
1.64xG against1.87
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

Shooting quality

Málaga CF: BalancedReal Sociedad: Balanced
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
Accuracy (shots on target)25%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.190.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Sociedad is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Málaga CF · 2 pts / match - Real Sociedad

Málaga CF
DDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-4
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 at home
0-3-1
DDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Real Sociedad
DWLWW
Season result split
50% W13% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-3
1.63 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
LLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Sociedad is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Málaga CF · 1.5 goals / match - Real Sociedad

Málaga CF is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Málaga CF · 1.88 goals / match - Real Sociedad

Málaga CF scoring profile: strong

Málaga CF scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Real Sociedad scoring profile: very strong

Real Sociedad scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Málaga CF keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

4Goals scored (season)12
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
13Goals conceded (season)15
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
2.13Average goals in match3.38
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
3Goals scored (last 5)9
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal63%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0%2 goals50%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0%3 goals38%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0%4 goals0%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal88%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
38%2 goals63%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
25%3 goals25%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
13%4 goals13%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0%Scored in both halves50%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

BTTS and goal count

13%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
60%BTTS - last 560%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
13%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time63%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Sociedad is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Málaga CF · 1.75 pts / match - Real Sociedad

Málaga CF - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Real Sociedad - half-time state
38% leading63% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1.75
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.13
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
38%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
75%No goal before half-time38%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.63
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)1.63
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
0.88Average goals (2nd half)2.25
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
50%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad
75%No goal after half-time50%
Málaga CFReal Sociedad

Málaga CF - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Real Sociedad - second-half results

13% W25% D63% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.4

Concedes 1.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Málaga CF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Real Sociedad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.8
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Málaga CF
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Real Sociedad
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
6
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Málaga CF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
28%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Real Sociedad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Málaga CFLigaReal Sociedad
Average goals in match▼ 2.133.09▲ 3.38
Both teams scored▼ 50%59%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%58%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▼ 13%24%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%68%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%82%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Málaga CF and Real Sociedad play?

Málaga CF face Real Sociedad on 18 October 2026 in La Liga at Estadio La Rosaleda. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad?

Málaga CF score 0.50 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad 1.50. The La Liga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Málaga CF's matches and 63% of Real Sociedad's.

What form are Málaga CF and Real Sociedad in?

Over the last 5 games Málaga CF have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Real Sociedad 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.