Málaga CF vs UD Las Palmas: match statistics
Málaga CF vs UD Las Palmas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Málaga CF played UD Las Palmas in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 10 June 2026. Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Málaga CF: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. UD Las Palmas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Málaga CF scores 1.77 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. UD Las Palmas scores 1.33 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Málaga CF 60%, UD Las Palmas 56%. Over 2.5: Málaga CF 58%, UD Las Palmas 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Málaga CF has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.34. Málaga CF: 14.0 shots per match, UD Las Palmas: 11.9.
Match halves
Málaga CF: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00. UD Las Palmas: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Málaga CF: 76-90+ (22 goals). UD Las Palmas: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Málaga has a clear offensive edge: they have scored 76 goals this season, at home average 2.00 goals per game with an average xG of 1.81 and 6.62 shots on target, while UD Las Palmas have 57 goals this season and register only 1.14 goals per away game (xG 1.25) with 3.67 shots on target. Efficiency favors the hosts — Málaga converts shots at a 13% rate versus Las Palmas’ 10%, and the visitors fail to score in 24% of away matches compared to just 10% of Málaga’s home games. Last five form also supports Málaga: the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches (10 goals scored and 3 conceded) and average 2.6 points per game in that period, whereas Las Palmas have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (6 goals scored and 9 conceded, 1.4 points per game). Defensively both teams are relatively close on paper (Málaga concedes 1.14 goals on average in home matches vs 1.24 conceded by Las Palmas away), but the last 5 matches show greater defensive vulnerability from the visitors. Considering superior productivity, higher number of shots on target and better form (Málaga: 6.62 shots on target, 2.00 goals/game, 2.6 pts; Las Palmas: 3.67 shots on target, 1.14 goals/game, 1.4 pts), I project a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give strong signals for BTTS - Yes: Las Palmas has BTTS in 62% of matches this season and 80% in the last 5, while Málaga shows 50% seasonally and 60% in the last 5. Seasonally Málaga scores 1.5 goals per game, Las Palmas 1.14, and xG indicates 1.43 for Málaga versus xG against Las Palmas 1.36 (approx ~1.40 for the home side) and 1.25 xG for Las Palmas versus xG against Málaga 1.02 (approx ~1.13 for the away side). Málaga concedes 0.68 goals on average this season and 0.6 in the last 5, with 36% clean sheets, whereas Las Palmas concedes 1.24 goals this season and 1.8 in the last 5, with only 29% clean sheets — the away team is more prone to conceding. Additionally, Málaga averages 4.68 shots on target with a 12% conversion rate, Las Palmas 3.67 SOT with a 10% conversion, and the league BTTS average is 56% with an average of 2.63 goals per match, all of which favor Goal/Goal. Considering the seasonal and last-5 BTTS rates (62% vs 50% seasonally and 80% vs 60% in the last 5) and xG above ~1 for both sides, I recommend BTTS - Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Considering xG and goals averages, I estimate 1.40 goals for Málaga (xG_for_home 1.43 and xG_against_away 1.36 → avg ~1.40) and 1.14 for Las Palmas (xG_for_away 1.25 and xG_against_home 1.02 → ~1.14), giving a total of 2.54 goals. With this value (lambda=2.54) the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is around 72% (1 − P(0) − P(1) ≈ 0.72), which is slightly above the seasonal Over 1.5 rates: Málaga 68% and Las Palmas 71%. The chance of Over 2.5 (at least 3 goals) is about 47%, close to Las Palmas’ season 48% and higher than Málaga’s 41%, while Over 3.5 is ~25% (seasonal 18–19%), so the 3.5 line has weaker support. Additionally, the last 5 matches confirm Málaga’s good offensive form: in their last 5 fixtures Málaga scored 10 goals (avg 2.0) and conceded 3 (0.6), while Las Palmas scored 6 and conceded 9 (1.2 and 1.8), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 (line 1.5, over) as the strongest signal — 72% probability supported by xG and team form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Málaga is a clear favorite to be leading at Half-Time and to win Full-Time — the home side led at the break in 55% of matches (12 times) and average 0.91 goals by Half-Time while conceding 0.32, whereas Las Palmas average 0.48 scored and 0.43 conceded in the first half. This is supported by the xG profile: Málaga has an average xG of 1.43 versus Las Palmas’ 1.25 and xG against of 1.02 versus 1.36, giving Málaga a positive xG balance of +0.41 (1.43−1.02) and Las Palmas −0.11 (1.25−1.36). The home team create more chances (12.64 shots and 4.68 on target versus 11.14 and 3.67 for the visitors) and have better shot efficiency 12% vs 10%, so the scenario of a lead at the break and holding on to win is strong. Additionally Málaga have won 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%) and led at Half-Time in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Las Palmas have a 40% win rate in their last 5 and tend to score late (7 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 3 for Málaga), which introduces the risk of a late turnaround. On that basis my strongest signal is Málaga leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (1/1), with moderate support for X/X and 1/X scenarios due to Las Palmas’ second-half activity.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Málaga CF | UD Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Málaga CF is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Málaga CF · 1.4 pts / match - UD Las Palmas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Málaga CF is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Málaga CF · 1.33 goals / match - UD Las Palmas
UD Las Palmas is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Málaga CF · 0.95 goals / match - UD Las Palmas
Málaga CF scores in 86% of matches (37 of 43 matches), while UD Las Palmas keeps a clean sheet in 33% (14 of 43 matches).
UD Las Palmas scores in 77% of matches (33 of 43 matches), while Málaga CF keeps a clean sheet in 28% (12 of 43 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Málaga CF
Over / Under - UD Las Palmas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Málaga CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UD Las Palmas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Málaga CF
UD Las Palmas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Málaga CF | Liga | UD Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.98 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Málaga CF 3 - 0 - 0 UD Las Palmas. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Málaga CF vs UD Las Palmas?
The Segunda División match finished Málaga CF 1:1 UD Las Palmas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Málaga CF and UD Las Palmas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Málaga CF won 3, UD Las Palmas won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Málaga CF vs UD Las Palmas?
Málaga CF score 1.77 goals per game on average and UD Las Palmas 1.33. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Málaga CF's matches and 56% of UD Las Palmas's.
What form are Málaga CF and UD Las Palmas in?
Over the last 5 games Málaga CF have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and UD Las Palmas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Málaga CF vs UD Las Palmas?
The statistical background for Málaga CF vs UD Las Palmas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.