Spain - La LigaEstadio La RosaledaData current as of 17 September 2026

Málaga CF vs Villarreal: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Málaga CF vs Villarreal: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Málaga CF play Villarreal in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 17 September 2026. Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda.

Current form

Málaga CF: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Villarreal: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Málaga CF scores 0.40 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Villarreal scores 1.40 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.07 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Málaga CF 40%, Villarreal 80%. Over 2.5: Málaga CF 20%, Villarreal 80%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Villarreal has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.08. Málaga CF: 10.8 shots per match, Villarreal: 15.0.

Match halves

Málaga CF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. Villarreal: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Málaga CF: 31-45+ (1 goals). Villarreal: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

La Liga: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Málaga CFVillarreal
0.4Goals scored / match1.4
Málaga CFVillarreal
1.6Goals conceded / match2
Málaga CFVillarreal
53%Average possession62%
Málaga CFVillarreal
1.8Shots on target / match6.4
Málaga CFVillarreal

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.8Shots per match15
Málaga CFVillarreal
1.8Shots on target6.4
Málaga CFVillarreal
3.7%Shot conversion9.3%
Málaga CFVillarreal
53%Possession62%
Málaga CFVillarreal
1.08xG for1.91
Málaga CFVillarreal
1.56xG against1.65
Málaga CFVillarreal

Shooting quality

Málaga CF: BalancedVillarreal: Dominant
Málaga CFVillarreal
Accuracy (shots on target)17%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Málaga CF is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Málaga CF · 0.4 pts / match - Villarreal

Málaga CF
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W60% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Villarreal
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W40% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Villarreal is 250% better for: goals scored per match.

0.4 goals / match - Málaga CF · 1.4 goals / match - Villarreal

Málaga CF is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Málaga CF · 2 goals / match - Villarreal

Málaga CF scoring profile: strong

Málaga CF scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Villarreal keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Villarreal scoring profile: very strong

Villarreal scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Málaga CF keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

2Goals scored (season)7
Málaga CFVillarreal
8Goals conceded (season)10
Málaga CFVillarreal
2Average goals in match3.4
Málaga CFVillarreal
2Goals scored (last 5)7
Málaga CFVillarreal
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Málaga CFVillarreal

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal80%
Málaga CFVillarreal
0%2 goals60%
Málaga CFVillarreal
0%3 goals0%
Málaga CFVillarreal
0%4 goals0%
Málaga CFVillarreal

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal100%
Málaga CFVillarreal
40%2 goals80%
Málaga CFVillarreal
20%3 goals20%
Málaga CFVillarreal
20%4 goals0%
Málaga CFVillarreal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time60%
Málaga CFVillarreal
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Málaga CFVillarreal
0%Scored in both halves20%
Málaga CFVillarreal

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
Málaga CFVillarreal
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Málaga CFVillarreal
40%BTTS - last 580%
Málaga CFVillarreal

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Málaga CFVillarreal
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Málaga CFVillarreal
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time40%
Málaga CFVillarreal

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time40%
Málaga CFVillarreal
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Málaga CFVillarreal
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Málaga CFVillarreal

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Málaga CF - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing
Villarreal - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per match (1st half)0.6
Málaga CFVillarreal
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Málaga CFVillarreal
1Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
Málaga CFVillarreal
1.2Average goals (1st half)2
Málaga CFVillarreal
40%Clean sheet before half-time20%
Málaga CFVillarreal
80%No goal before half-time40%
Málaga CFVillarreal

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.8
Málaga CFVillarreal
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Málaga CFVillarreal
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Málaga CFVillarreal
0.8Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Málaga CFVillarreal
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Málaga CFVillarreal
80%No goal after half-time60%
Málaga CFVillarreal

Málaga CF - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Villarreal - second-half results

0% W80% D20% L
3
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Málaga CF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Villarreal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Málaga CF
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Villarreal
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Málaga CF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
23%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Villarreal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Málaga CFLigaVillarreal
Average goals in match 2.003.07 3.40
Both teams scored 40%56% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 20%56% 80%
Clean sheets 20%25% 0%
Goal before half-time 60%65% 80%
Goal after half-time 60%81% 40%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.07
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Málaga CF and Villarreal play?

Málaga CF face Villarreal on 17 September 2026 in La Liga at Estadio La Rosaleda. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Málaga CF vs Villarreal?

Málaga CF score 0.40 goals per game on average and Villarreal 1.40. The La Liga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Málaga CF's matches and 80% of Villarreal's.

What form are Málaga CF and Villarreal in?

Over the last 5 games Málaga CF have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Villarreal 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Málaga CF vs Villarreal?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.