Malavan vs Zob Ahan: match statistics

Malavan sit 9th, while Zob Ahan are 13th, giving the hosts a slight advantage in the league standings. In their last five matches, Malavan have collected 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, compared with Zob Ahan’s 6 points, having won just once and drawn as many as three times. Both teams scored 3 goals and conceded 3 during this period, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, which clearly points to limited attacking potential. Zob Ahan’s run includes 3 draws in 5 matches, making a share of the points a serious possibility; however, home advantage and the slightly better recent form favour Malavan. A tight contest is the most likely outcome, with the hosts potentially securing a narrow victory.

The strongest signal is the league’s very low BTTS rate of just 17%, with 83% of matches featuring a clean sheet for at least one side. Malavan recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last 5 matches, while Zob Ahan did so in 40%, which still more often supports the BTTS - No scenario. Both teams scored 3 goals during this period, averaging just 0.6 goals per match, while each also conceded an average of 0.6 goals. Such low attacking output suggests that a 1:0, 0:1 or 0:0 result is significantly more likely than both teams finding the net. The league average of 2.17 goals per match does not change the assessment, as the direct form of both teams points to an especially cautious, low-scoring profile.

The available form from the last 5 matches is highly conservative: Malavan averaged 0.6 goals scored and the same number conceded, while Zob Ahan posted identical averages of 0.6:0.6. Each team scored just 3 goals in 5 matches during this period, indicating limited potential for a high-scoring game. None of Malavan’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, while this occurred only once for Zob Ahan, in 20% of their games. The league profile also favors low-scoring outcomes, with an average of 2.17 goals per match and only 17% of games ending with at least 3 goals. The projected total of 1.25 goals provides a clear edge for Under 3.5 goals, as the bet would require 4 goals to lose.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and full-time, as Zob Ahan were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Malavan. Both teams concede an average of just 0.2 goals before half-time, while Malavan have not recorded a match with more than one goal in this period in any of their last five appearances. After the break, the attacking output also looks highly conservative: Malavan score an average of 0.2 goals, whereas Zob Ahan have failed to score any, with the visitors drawing in the second half in 60% of their matches. In addition, Zob Ahan have drawn 60% of their last five matches, while the average total number of goals scored by both teams during this period is just 1.2, further supporting the X/X outcome.