Malvern Town vs Frome Town: match statistics
Malvern Town vs Frome Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Malvern Town played Frome Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Malvern Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Frome Town: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Malvern Town scores 1.55 and concedes 2.82 goals per match. Frome Town scores 1.67 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Malvern Town 73%, Frome Town 50%. Over 2.5: Malvern Town 91%, Frome Town 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Malvern Town has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.56. Malvern Town: 2.7 shots per match, Frome Town: 3.8.
Match halves
Malvern Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91. Frome Town: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Malvern Town: 76-90+ (6 goals). Frome Town: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Frome Town have the stronger overall record this season, with 4 wins and 3 defeats compared to Malvern Town’s 1 win and 7 defeats. The biggest difference is defensively: the hosts have conceded 29 goals in 10 matches and average 2.25 conceded at home, while the visitors have let in 14 goals in 11 matches and average 1.4 away from home. Malvern can still pose a threat on their own ground, averaging 2 goals there, with an xG of 1.72—almost identical to Frome’s away xG of 1.71. Recent results temper confidence in backing the visitors, who are winless in their last 5 matches, drawing 4; the hosts have lost 3 times in that period and conceded 14 goals. Despite a genuine chance of a draw, Frome’s stronger season-long record and defensive performance point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for both teams to score is that Malvern Town and Frome Town have both recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. Over that period, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded, while the visitors scored 1.4 and conceded 1.8, supporting the prospect of goals at both ends. Their attacking output also looks solid across a broader sample: average goals stand at 1.5 for Malvern and 1.8 for Frome, with xG of 1.65 and 1.71 respectively. The main caution is that Frome failed to score in 40% of its matches, and its season BTTS rate is just 40%, compared with 67% for the hosts. Even so, the teams’ recent form and defensive records point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was exceeded in 83% of Malvern Town matches and 80% of Frome Town matches. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals, while the visitors average 1.8, and their attacking xG figures of 1.65 and 1.71 respectively support the forecast for several goals. Malvern Town matches have averaged 4.4 goals across their last 5 games, compared with 3.2 in Frome Town matches; both teams saw both sides score in 80% of their games during this period. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable, as it was exceeded in 50% of the hosts' matches and 60% of the visitors', so with a forecast of 3.05 goals, the lower line offers better value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Frome kept a clean sheet in the first half in 80% of matches, while Malvern failed to score before the break in 3 of its last 5 games. The visitors average just 0.4 goals in first halves, while the hosts concede 0.5 during that period, so an early Frome lead is not strongly indicated either. The case for the match remaining level is supported by Malvern drawing 50% of its games this season and Frome drawing 4 of its last 5. After the break, the visitors do average 1.4 goals compared with the hosts' 0.67, but they also concede 1.2, giving Malvern a chance to respond and making X/X the strongest single HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Malvern Town | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.59 | 0.42 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.55 | 1.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Frome Town is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Malvern Town · 1.67 goals / match - Frome Town
Frome Town is 141% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.82 goals / match - Malvern Town · 1.17 goals / match - Frome Town
Malvern Town scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Frome Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Frome Town scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Malvern Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Malvern Town
Over / Under - Frome Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Frome Town is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Malvern Town · 1.67 pts / match - Frome Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Malvern Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Frome Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Malvern Town
Frome Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Malvern Town | Liga | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.36 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 91% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Malvern Town vs Frome Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Malvern Town 2:0 Frome Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Malvern Town vs Frome Town?
Malvern Town score 1.55 goals per game on average and Frome Town 1.67. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Malvern Town's matches and 50% of Frome Town's.
What form are Malvern Town and Frome Town in?
Over the last 5 games Malvern Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Frome Town 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Malvern Town vs Frome Town?
The statistical background for Malvern Town vs Frome Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.