Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows: match statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns demonstrate decisive dominance in home matches with an 88% win rate and an impressive +15 goal difference. The hosts maintain great form with four victories in their last five encounters, scoring an average of 2.38 goals per match while conceding just 0.5 goals. Golden Arrows have very poor results on the road - only 11% matches won and a staggering 67% losses, with an average of 1.78 goals conceded. The huge difference in possession (73% vs 53%), shot conversion (17% vs 11%), and xG (1.87 vs 1.26) clearly indicates an advantage for the hosts. Taking all statistics into account, especially Golden Arrows' disastrous away run and Sundowns' reliability at home, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mamelodi Sundowns play Golden Arrows in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match date is 4 March 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mamelodi Sundowns: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Golden Arrows: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns scores 1.90 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Golden Arrows scores 1.13 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mamelodi Sundowns 50%, Golden Arrows 43%. Over 2.5: Mamelodi Sundowns 37%, Golden Arrows 43%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Mamelodi Sundowns has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.31. Mamelodi Sundowns: 14.2 shots per match, Golden Arrows: 11.3.
Match halves
Mamelodi Sundowns: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.97. Golden Arrows: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Mamelodi Sundowns: 31-45+ (14 goals). Golden Arrows: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mamelodi Sundowns demonstrate decisive dominance in home matches with an 88% win rate and an impressive +15 goal difference. The hosts maintain great form with four victories in their last five encounters, scoring an average of 2.38 goals per match while conceding just 0.5 goals. Golden Arrows have very poor results on the road - only 11% matches won and a staggering 67% losses, with an average of 1.78 goals conceded. The huge difference in possession (73% vs 53%), shot conversion (17% vs 11%), and xG (1.87 vs 1.26) clearly indicates an advantage for the hosts. Taking all statistics into account, especially Golden Arrows' disastrous away run and Sundowns' reliability at home, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Golden Arrows | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 1.4 pts / match - Golden Arrows
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 1.13 goals / match - Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 1.1 goals / match - Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Golden Arrows keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
Golden Arrows scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mamelodi Sundowns
Over / Under — Golden Arrows
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 1.23 pts / match - Golden Arrows
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Golden Arrows - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mamelodi Sundowns
Golden Arrows
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Liga | Golden Arrows | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.02 | ▲ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 30% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 60% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 70% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns 0 - 0 - 1 Golden Arrows. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Mamelodi Sundowns 2:1 Golden Arrows. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 1.90 goals per game on average and Golden Arrows 1.13. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mamelodi Sundowns's matches and 43% of Golden Arrows's.
What form are Mamelodi Sundowns and Golden Arrows in?
Over the last 5 games Mamelodi Sundowns have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Golden Arrows 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.