Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch: match statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mamelodi Sundowns played Stellenbosch in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mamelodi Sundowns: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Stellenbosch: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns scores 1.83 and concedes 0.52 goals per match. Stellenbosch scores 0.96 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mamelodi Sundowns 48%, Stellenbosch 50%. Over 2.5: Mamelodi Sundowns 35%, Stellenbosch 33%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Mamelodi Sundowns has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.35. Mamelodi Sundowns: 14.1 shots per match, Stellenbosch: 10.7.
Match halves
Mamelodi Sundowns: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.00. Stellenbosch: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Mamelodi Sundowns: 76-90+ (10 goals). Stellenbosch: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns are the favorites: they sit 2nd with a season record of 17 wins, 5 draws and only 1 loss, and they win 91% of matches at home. Offensively the hosts average 2.55 goals per home match with 14.82 shots and 6.45 shots on target (conversion 17%) and an average xG of 1.87, while Stellenbosch register 0.82 goals away with 10.27 shots, 3.09 shots on target and xG 1.26 (conversion 8%). Defensively Sundowns concede 0.64 goals at home and have xG against 0.91, whereas Stellenbosch concede 1.00 goals away with xG against 1.30, indicating better control and fewer dangerous situations for the hosts. Form confirms the edge: Sundowns have scored 7 goals and won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game in that span, while Stellenbosch have scored 8 goals, won only 2 of 5 and average 1.6 points per game and have 36% of away matches without scoring. Considering possession dominance (71% vs 49%), higher chance conversion (17% vs 8%) and a superior home goal difference (+21 at home vs -2 away), I predict a Mamelodi Sundowns victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick 'No' (No Goal) because Mamelodi Sundowns scored 42 and conceded only 12 this season; in their last 5 matches they averaged 0.6 goals conceded and only 20% BTTS rate. Stellenbosch have 100% BTTS in their last 5 with averages of 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, but season totals of 23 scored and 26 conceded indicate greater instability rather than consistent attacking efficiency. League context favors no BTTS: the league has just 39% BTTS matches and as many as 73% clean sheets, with an average of 2.04 goals per game. Quality metrics are comparable (seasonal xG 1.42 for the home side vs 1.26 for the away, last 5 xG 1.38 vs 1.42), but the hosts register more shots on target (3.92 vs 3.09) and have higher conversion (10% vs 8%), giving them a stronger chance to control the game and keep a clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Mamelodi Sundowns have an xG of 1.42 per match and Stellenbosch concede xG 1.30, yielding an expected home goals ~1.36; visitors have xG 1.26 and hosts concede xG 1.26, so expected away goals ~1.26, total 2.62. A Poisson model for a total mean of 2.62 gives probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈74%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈49% and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) ≈27%. Seasonal indicators support Over 1.5: Sundowns register Over 1.5 in 62% of matches, Stellenbosch in 64%, and the league averages 2.04 goals per game, which further backs this line. Additionally Sundowns average 3.92 shots on target with a 10% conversion rate (Stellenbosch 3.09 and 8%), and in the last 5 matches both teams have shown higher scoring efficiency (Sundowns 1.4 goals, Stellenbosch 1.6), therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mamelodi Sundowns have a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches they won 80% (4 of 5), while Stellenbosch won 40% (2 of 5), and Sundowns led at the break in 60% of those five games. In the first half the hosts score on average 0.54 goals versus 0.27 for the visitors, 85% of Sundowns’ first halves contain at least one goal (vs 73% for Stellenbosch), and both teams scoring in the first half is rare (15% vs 18%). Offensively Sundowns generate higher xG (1.42 vs 1.26), have more shots on target (3.92 vs 3.09) and a better conversion rate (10% vs 8%), which increases the chance of maintaining a lead after the break. The season-long percentage of Sundowns leading at Half-Time is however only 23% (3 matches) with 46% of cases where they were behind at Half-Time, but the improvement in the last 5 matches suggests a turnaround; therefore I rate 1/1 highest (30%) with a significant contribution from the half-time draw → home win scenario (X/1, 28%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Stellenbosch | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 1.6 pts / match - Stellenbosch
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 0.96 goals / match - Stellenbosch
Mamelodi Sundowns is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.52 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 1.08 goals / match - Stellenbosch
Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Stellenbosch keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Stellenbosch scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mamelodi Sundowns
Over / Under - Stellenbosch
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns · 0.88 pts / match - Stellenbosch
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stellenbosch - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mamelodi Sundowns
Stellenbosch
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Liga | Stellenbosch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 2.04 | • 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 32% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 37% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 61% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 0 - 0 Stellenbosch. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 Stellenbosch. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 1.83 goals per game on average and Stellenbosch 0.96. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Mamelodi Sundowns's matches and 50% of Stellenbosch's.
What form are Mamelodi Sundowns and Stellenbosch in?
Over the last 5 games Mamelodi Sundowns have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Stellenbosch 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.