Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: match statistics
Manchester City demonstrates a commanding advantage across all key home statistics. The hosts win an impressive 80% of their home matches, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game while scoring 2.6. Conversely, Brighton struggles on the road with a mere 20% win rate and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match. The disparity in quality is also evident in xG, where City generates 1.92 per home game compared to Brighton's 1.44 away. Recent form further favors the hosts—City remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches, while Brighton has averaged just 1 point per match. The hosts' substantial positive goal difference (+19 at home) versus the visitors' negative record (-4 away) confirms Manchester City's clear superiority.
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Manchester City played Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League (England). The match was played on 7 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Manchester City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Brighton & Hove Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Manchester City scores 2.20 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.50 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Manchester City 45%, Brighton & Hove Albion 65%. Over 2.5: Manchester City 65%, Brighton & Hove Albion 55%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.56. Manchester City: 14.2 shots per match, Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.6.
Match halves
Manchester City: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 1.10. Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Manchester City: 31-45+ (12 goals). Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester City demonstrates a commanding advantage across all key home statistics. The hosts win an impressive 80% of their home matches, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game while scoring 2.6. Conversely, Brighton struggles on the road with a mere 20% win rate and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match. The disparity in quality is also evident in xG, where City generates 1.92 per home game compared to Brighton's 1.44 away. Recent form further favors the hosts—City remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches, while Brighton has averaged just 1 point per match. The hosts' substantial positive goal difference (+19 at home) versus the visitors' negative record (-4 away) confirms Manchester City's clear superiority.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester City | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Manchester City · 1 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.5 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.35 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester City
Over / Under - Brighton & Hove Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.2 pts / match - Manchester City · 1 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester City | Liga | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.79 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Manchester City 0 - 0 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The Premier League match finished Manchester City 1:1 Brighton & Hove Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Manchester City score 2.20 goals per game on average and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.50. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Manchester City's matches and 65% of Brighton & Hove Albion's.
What form are Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.