Manchester City vs Newcastle United: match statistics
Manchester City are in significantly better form, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches with just 4 goals conceded. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 77% win rate, averaging 2.46 goals per game while conceding just 0.62 goals. Newcastle United have been struggling away from home, winning only 23% of their away matches and failing to score in 46% of those games. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics, where City hold an advantage of 1.86 to 1.46, and their shooting efficiency (16% conversion rate) is twice as high as that of the visitors (8%). The goal difference of both teams (+24 for City in home matches vs -4 for Newcastle away) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Taking all parameters into account, Manchester City are the clear favorites for this encounter.
Manchester City vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Manchester City played Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Manchester City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Newcastle United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Manchester City scores 2.08 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.42 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Manchester City 46%, Newcastle United 62%. Over 2.5: Manchester City 62%, Newcastle United 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.58. Manchester City: 14.2 shots per match, Newcastle United: 13.2.
Match halves
Manchester City: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 0.92. Newcastle United: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Manchester City: 31-45+ (16 goals). Newcastle United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester City are in significantly better form, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches with just 4 goals conceded. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 77% win rate, averaging 2.46 goals per game while conceding just 0.62 goals. Newcastle United have been struggling away from home, winning only 23% of their away matches and failing to score in 46% of those games. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics, where City hold an advantage of 1.86 to 1.46, and their shooting efficiency (16% conversion rate) is twice as high as that of the visitors (8%). The goal difference of both teams (+24 for City in home matches vs -4 for Newcastle away) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Taking all parameters into account, Manchester City are the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester City | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Manchester City · 0.8 pts / match - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
2.08 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.42 goals / match - Newcastle United
Manchester City is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.42 goals / match - Newcastle United
Manchester City scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Newcastle United scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester City
Over / Under - Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.23 pts / match - Manchester City · 1.38 pts / match - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 62%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Manchester City
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester City | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.76 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Manchester City 0 - 0 - 1 Newcastle United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Manchester City 2:1 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
Manchester City score 2.08 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.42. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Manchester City's matches and 62% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Manchester City and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Newcastle United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Manchester City vs Newcastle United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.