Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Manchester City presents outstanding form with five consecutive victories and an impressive tally of 10 goals scored against just 2 conceded in their last five outings. The hosts are dominant on home turf with a 79% win rate, averaging 2.43 goals scored while conceding only 0.64 per match. Nottingham Forest faces a tough situation, averaging one point per game in their last five fixtures and holding a weak away record (29% wins, 57% losses). The visitors struggle with clinicality (9% shot conversion) and frequently fail to score on the road (36% FTS%). The disparity in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.86 vs 1.27) unequivocally points to a decisive Manchester City victory, as they are expected to control proceedings through superior possession (59% vs 47%) and significantly higher offensive efficiency.
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Manchester City played Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Manchester City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nottingham Forest: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Manchester City scores 2.04 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Nottingham Forest scores 0.93 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Manchester City 46%, Nottingham Forest 39%. Over 2.5: Manchester City 61%, Nottingham Forest 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.49. Manchester City: 14.2 shots per match, Nottingham Forest: 13.0.
Match halves
Manchester City: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 0.86. Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Manchester City: 31-45+ (17 goals). Nottingham Forest: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester City presents outstanding form with five consecutive victories and an impressive tally of 10 goals scored against just 2 conceded in their last five outings. The hosts are dominant on home turf with a 79% win rate, averaging 2.43 goals scored while conceding only 0.64 per match. Nottingham Forest faces a tough situation, averaging one point per game in their last five fixtures and holding a weak away record (29% wins, 57% losses). The visitors struggle with clinicality (9% shot conversion) and frequently fail to score on the road (36% FTS%). The disparity in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.86 vs 1.27) unequivocally points to a decisive Manchester City victory, as they are expected to control proceedings through superior possession (59% vs 47%) and significantly higher offensive efficiency.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester City | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Manchester City · 0.4 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 119% better for: goals scored per match.
2.04 goals / match - Manchester City · 0.93 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Manchester City is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.46 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Manchester City scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Nottingham Forest scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester City
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 179% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / match - Manchester City · 0.82 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 64%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester City | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Manchester City 1 - 0 - 0 Nottingham Forest. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Manchester City 2:2 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester City score 2.04 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 0.93. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Manchester City's matches and 39% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Manchester City and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
The statistical background for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.