England - Premier LeagueOld TraffordData current as of 21 October 2026

Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Manchester United play AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Old Trafford.

Current form

Manchester United: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Manchester United scores 1.43 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.29 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Manchester United 71%, AFC Bournemouth 71%. Over 2.5: Manchester United 29%, AFC Bournemouth 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Manchester United has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.65. Manchester United: 19.7 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 15.1.

Match halves

Manchester United: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.14. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Manchester United: 61-75 (3 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.79)
(4.36)
(4.42)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
1.43Goals scored / match1.29
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
1.43Goals conceded / match1.86
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
56%Average possession50%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
5Shots on target / match5.14
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.71Shots per match15.14
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
5Shots on target5.14
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
7.2%Shot conversion8.5%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
56%Possession50%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
2.02xG for1.65
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
1.31xG against1.17
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

Shooting quality

Manchester United: DominantAFC Bournemouth: Attacking
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
Accuracy (shots on target)25%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AFC Bournemouth is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Manchester United · 1 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth

Manchester United
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W57% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%
AFC Bournemouth
DDLLW
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester United is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.29 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth

Manchester United is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.86 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth

Manchester United scoring profile: very strong

Manchester United scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

AFC Bournemouth scoring profile: very strong

AFC Bournemouth scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)9
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
10Goals conceded (season)13
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
2.86Average goals in match3.14
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
29%2 goals43%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
14%3 goals0%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
14%4 goals0%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
43%2 goals57%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0%3 goals14%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0%4 goals14%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
14%BTTS in both halves14%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
14%Scored in both halves29%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
80%BTTS - last 560%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AFC Bournemouth is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Manchester United · 2 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth

Manchester United - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing
AFC Bournemouth - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)2
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.86
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
0.71Average goals (1st half)1.43
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
71%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
71%No goal before half-time29%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.57
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.29
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
2.14Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
14%Clean sheet after half-time14%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
43%No goal after half-time57%
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth

Manchester United - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AFC Bournemouth - second-half results

14% W14% D71% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Manchester United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match0.22.0
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
AFC Bournemouth - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Manchester United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

AFC Bournemouth
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Manchester United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

AFC Bournemouth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Manchester UnitedLigaAFC Bournemouth
Average goals in match• 2.862.90▲ 3.14
Both teams scored▲ 71%53%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 29%54%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 0%27%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 43%61%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%83%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.90
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Manchester United 0 - 2 - 0 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Manchester United and AFC Bournemouth play?

Manchester United face AFC Bournemouth on 25 October 2026 in Premier League at Old Trafford. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and AFC Bournemouth?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Manchester United won 0, AFC Bournemouth won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?

Manchester United score 1.43 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.29. The Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Manchester United's matches and 71% of AFC Bournemouth's.

What form are Manchester United and AFC Bournemouth in?

Over the last 5 games Manchester United have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.