Manchester United vs Crystal Palace: match statistics
Manchester United are displaying decisively better form, averaging 2.6 points per match over their last five games with a run of four victories and one draw. The hosts dominate at home with a 62% win rate and an average of 1.92 goals per match, backed by a solid xG of 1.95. Crystal Palace, despite decent away form (46% wins), show weaker offensive parameters with just 1.15 goals per away match and a lower xG (1.17). The difference in quality is confirmed by shooting statistics, with United averaging 17.38 shots per home match compared to Crystal Palace's 9.85 away. Considering the home side's advantage in possession (52% vs 44%) and superior efficiency, a Manchester United victory is the most likely scenario, although Crystal Palace may put up resistance, which justifies a moderate probability of a draw.
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Manchester United played Crystal Palace in Premier League (England). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Manchester United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Crystal Palace: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Manchester United scores 1.78 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Crystal Palace scores 1.07 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Manchester United 70%, Crystal Palace 48%. Over 2.5: Manchester United 56%, Crystal Palace 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester United has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.35. Manchester United: 15.8 shots per match, Crystal Palace: 11.9.
Match halves
Manchester United: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.04. Crystal Palace: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Manchester United: 76-90+ (13 goals). Crystal Palace: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester United are displaying decisively better form, averaging 2.6 points per match over their last five games with a run of four victories and one draw. The hosts dominate at home with a 62% win rate and an average of 1.92 goals per match, backed by a solid xG of 1.95. Crystal Palace, despite decent away form (46% wins), show weaker offensive parameters with just 1.15 goals per away match and a lower xG (1.17). The difference in quality is confirmed by shooting statistics, with United averaging 17.38 shots per home match compared to Crystal Palace's 9.85 away. Considering the home side's advantage in possession (52% vs 44%) and superior efficiency, a Manchester United victory is the most likely scenario, although Crystal Palace may put up resistance, which justifies a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester United | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester United is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Manchester United · 1.4 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.07 goals / match - Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.19 goals / match - Crystal Palace
Manchester United scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Crystal Palace scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester United
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Manchester United · 1.41 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester United | Liga | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Manchester United 1 - 0 - 0 Crystal Palace. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?
The Premier League match finished Manchester United 2:1 Crystal Palace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?
Manchester United score 1.78 goals per game on average and Crystal Palace 1.07. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Manchester United's matches and 48% of Crystal Palace's.
What form are Manchester United and Crystal Palace in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester United have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Crystal Palace 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?
The statistical background for Manchester United vs Crystal Palace — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.