Manchester United vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Manchester United play Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 21:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Manchester United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Manchester United scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Manchester United 71%, Newcastle United 66%. Over 2.5: Manchester United 63%, Newcastle United 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Manchester United has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.54. Manchester United: 15.7 shots per match, Newcastle United: 12.9.

Match halves

Manchester United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.05. Newcastle United: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Manchester United: 76-90+ (16 goals). Newcastle United: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
10Shots16
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
4Shots on target3
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.07xG1.92
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
2Corners11
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
21Dangerous attacks95
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
9Fouls5
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
2Cards1
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.82Goals scored / match1.39
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.32Goals conceded / match1.45
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
52%Average possession53%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
5.68Shots on target / match4.63
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.68Shots per match12.95
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
5.68Shots on target4.63
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
11.6%Shot conversion10.8%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
52%Possession53%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.74xG for1.54
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.35xG against1.44
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

Shooting quality

Manchester United: AttackingNewcastle United: Balanced
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Manchester United is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Manchester United · 1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United

Manchester United
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W29% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-11-7
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Newcastle United
LWDWL
Season result split
37% W18% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-17
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester United is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.82 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.39 goals / match - Newcastle United

Manchester United is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.45 goals / match - Newcastle United

Manchester United scoring profile: very strong

Manchester United scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

Newcastle United scoring profile: very strong

Newcastle United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

69Goals scored (season)53
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
50Goals conceded (season)55
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
3.13Average goals in match2.84
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
11Goals scored (last 5)7
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal76%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
58%2 goals45%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
26%3 goals13%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
8%4 goals5%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal79%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
42%2 goals45%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
8%3 goals18%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
3%4 goals3%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Manchester United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.27 of 38 matches
66%
Newcastle United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.25 of 38 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time21%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
5%BTTS in both halves8%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
34%Scored in both halves26%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
34%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Manchester United is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Manchester United · 1.39 pts / match - Newcastle United

Manchester United - half-time state
42% leading37% draw21% trailing
Newcastle United - half-time state
37% leading29% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.39
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.29
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
63%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
42%No goal before half-time45%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.03
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
1.95Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
39%Clean sheet after half-time34%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
34%No goal after half-time53%
Manchester UnitedNewcastle United

Manchester United - second-half results

29% W45% R26% P
62
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Newcastle United - second-half results

16% W55% R29% P
53
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Manchester United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.00
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+7-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Newcastle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Manchester United
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
7
5
16-30
14
6
31-45
13
11
46-60
11
8
61-75
16
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Newcastle United
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
10
6
16-30
10
13
31-45
4
6
46-60
8
7
61-75
13
21
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.99
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Manchester United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Newcastle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Manchester UnitedLigaNewcastle United
Average goals in match 3.132.75 2.84
Both teams scored 71%56% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%55% 63%
Clean sheets 21%26% 21%
Goal before half-time 76%72% 74%
Goal after half-time 82%79% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Manchester United 0 - 0 - 1 Newcastle United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Manchester United vs Newcastle United?

The Premier League match finished Manchester United 1:0 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Manchester United vs Newcastle United?

Manchester United score 1.82 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.39. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Manchester United's matches and 66% of Newcastle United's.

What form are Manchester United and Newcastle United in?

Over the last 5 games Manchester United have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Newcastle United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester United vs Newcastle United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.