Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Mansfield Town presents solid home form with a record of 38% wins and only 25% of matches without scoring at home, however, the last 5 overall matches brought only 1 win (PPG: 0.8). AFC Wimbledon shows better disposition in recent matches (PPG: 1.4, 11 goals in 5 games), but on the road, they concede an average of 1.94 goals and have only a 35% win rate. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.11), suggesting better quality of created chances, yet Mansfield's poor series (4 losses in the last 5 matches) lowers their odds. Considering the balanced level of both teams, the small difference in goal difference, and the hosts' uncertain form, a draw seems the most probable result, although Mansfield's slight advantage in home play gives them minimally higher chances of victory.
Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mansfield Town played AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Mansfield Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mansfield Town scores 1.19 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mansfield Town 55%, AFC Wimbledon 50%. Over 2.5: Mansfield Town 45%, AFC Wimbledon 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Mansfield Town has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.15. Mansfield Town: 10.9 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 10.3.
Match halves
Mansfield Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Mansfield Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Mansfield Town presents solid home form with a record of 38% wins and only 25% of matches without scoring at home, however, the last 5 overall matches brought only 1 win (PPG: 0.8). AFC Wimbledon shows better disposition in recent matches (PPG: 1.4, 11 goals in 5 games), but on the road, they concede an average of 1.94 goals and have only a 35% win rate. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.11), suggesting better quality of created chances, yet Mansfield's poor series (4 losses in the last 5 matches) lowers their odds. Considering the balanced level of both teams, the small difference in goal difference, and the hosts' uncertain form, a draw seems the most probable result, although Mansfield's slight advantage in home play gives them minimally higher chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mansfield Town | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Wimbledon is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Mansfield Town · 2 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mansfield Town is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Mansfield Town · 1.44 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Mansfield Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mansfield Town
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mansfield Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Mansfield Town | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.61 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mansfield Town 0 - 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Mansfield Town 2:2 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Mansfield Town score 1.19 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.22. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Mansfield Town's matches and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Mansfield Town and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Mansfield Town have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.