Mansfield Town vs Cardiff City: match statistics
Mansfield Town vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mansfield Town play Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 5:4.
Current form
Mansfield Town: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mansfield Town scores 1.35 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.96 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mansfield Town 54%, Cardiff City 54%. Over 2.5: Mansfield Town 46%, Cardiff City 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.28. Mansfield Town: 11.5 shots per match, Cardiff City: 16.0.
Match halves
Mansfield Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24.
Goals by minute
Mansfield Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). Cardiff City: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I project an away win (2): Cardiff sit 2nd in the table versus Mansfield in 11th and have scored 86 goals this season compared to Mansfield’s 57. The form momentum gap is clear: in the last 5 matches Cardiff have scored 12 goals and won 4 of 5, averaging 2.6 points per match, while Mansfield have 7 goals and 2 wins in their last 5, averaging 1.8 points per match. Cardiff dominate in chance creation and possession control — average possession 62% versus Mansfield’s 48%, 14.5 average shots and 4.59 shots on target per match as the away side versus 13.5 shots and 4.41 on target for the home side; average xG for the visitors is 1.62 versus 1.52 for the hosts. Defensively the differences are smaller: Cardiff concede 1.00 goals on average away, Mansfield concede 1.05 at home; both teams conceded 3 goals in their last 5 matches, but Cardiff have a much lower share of matches without scoring — 9% versus Mansfield’s 23%. On this basis I assign Cardiff a 65% probability to win, draw 20% and Mansfield 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mansfield Town | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mansfield Town is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Mansfield Town · 2 pts / match - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Mansfield Town · 1.96 goals / match - Cardiff City
Mansfield Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).
Cardiff City scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Mansfield Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (16 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mansfield Town
Over / Under — Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mansfield Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mansfield Town
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Mansfield Town | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mansfield Town 0 - 0 - 1 Cardiff City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mansfield Town vs Cardiff City?
The EFL League One match finished Mansfield Town 5:4 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mansfield Town vs Cardiff City?
Mansfield Town score 1.35 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.96. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Mansfield Town's matches and 54% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Mansfield Town and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Mansfield Town have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cardiff City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mansfield Town vs Cardiff City?
The statistical background for Mansfield Town vs Cardiff City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.