Mantova vs Avellino: match statistics
Mantova vs Avellino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova play Avellino in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Mantova: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Avellino: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Avellino scores 1.10 and concedes 1.49. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 50%, Avellino 49%. Over 2.5: Mantova 53%, Avellino 46%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.15. Mantova: 14.1 shots per match, Avellino: 9.9.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.63. Avellino: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (15 goals). Avellino: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mantova has a clear advantage at home: average shots per match for the hosts are 16.06 versus 8.18 in Avellino’s away games, and shots on target average 5.53 vs 2.35, translating into more clear scoring opportunities. The hosts score 1.47 goals per home match with xG 1.75, while Avellino scores only 0.88 goals on the road with xG 0.94 — the hosts therefore generate nearly twice as many expected chances (1.75 vs 0.94 xG). Defensively Avellino concedes 1.71 goals on average away and have shipped 8 goals in their last 5 matches, whereas Mantova have conceded 4, indicating weaker defensive resilience from the visitors. Additionally, Mantova record only 12% of matches without scoring and 24% clean sheets at home, while Avellino fail to score in 41% of away games and have just 6% clean sheets, increasing the probability of a host goal. Considering average points over the last 5 matches (Mantova 2.0 pts vs Avellino 1.4 pts), possession advantage (60% vs 49%) and superior xG and chance metrics, I tip a Mantova victory; estimated probabilities: 65% home win, 20% draw, 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mantova is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Mantova · 1.1 goals / match - Avellino
Mantova scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
Avellino scores in 64% of matches (25 of 39 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mantova
Over / Under — Avellino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Mantova · 1.28 pts / match - Avellino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Avellino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.55 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 1 - 0 Avellino. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Avellino?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 0:2 Avellino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Avellino?
Mantova score 1.18 goals per game on average and Avellino 1.10. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mantova's matches and 49% of Avellino's.
What form are Mantova and Avellino in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Avellino 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Avellino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.