Mantova vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Mantova shows better offensive form at home, averaging 1.27 goals per game with a high xG of 1.79, indicating untapped scoring potential. Bari 1908 has serious attacking problems away, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match with a poor xG of 1.0 and as many as 55% of matches without a goal. Mantova enjoys significantly better ball possession (63% vs 51%) and a higher number of shots on target (5.82 vs 2.09), giving them an advantage in creating chances. Although both teams are in the bottom part of the table with a similar loss rate (55%), the hosts have a better recent points record (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Considering Mantova's home advantage and Bari's offensive weakness away, I expect a slight edge for the hosts, although the low efficiency rates of both teams leave room for a draw.
Mantova vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova played Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mantova: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bari 1908: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Bari 1908 scores 0.82 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 55%, Bari 1908 55%. Over 2.5: Mantova 50%, Bari 1908 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.09. Mantova: 14.4 shots per match, Bari 1908: 10.1.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.59. Bari 1908: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (8 goals). Bari 1908: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mantova shows better offensive form at home, averaging 1.27 goals per game with a high xG of 1.79, indicating untapped scoring potential. Bari 1908 has serious attacking problems away, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match with a poor xG of 1.0 and as many as 55% of matches without a goal. Mantova enjoys significantly better ball possession (63% vs 51%) and a higher number of shots on target (5.82 vs 2.09), giving them an advantage in creating chances. Although both teams are in the bottom part of the table with a similar loss rate (55%), the hosts have a better recent points record (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Considering Mantova's home advantage and Bari's offensive weakness away, I expect a slight edge for the hosts, although the low efficiency rates of both teams leave room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mantova is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mantova · 0.8 pts / match - Bari 1908
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mantova is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Mantova · 0.82 goals / match - Bari 1908
Bari 1908 is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Mantova · 1.55 goals / match - Bari 1908
Mantova scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Bari 1908 scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mantova is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Mantova · 0.77 pts / match - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.45 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 0 - 1 Bari 1908. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Bari 1908?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 2:1 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Bari 1908?
Mantova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 0.82. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Mantova's matches and 55% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Mantova and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bari 1908 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Bari 1908?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.