Mantova vs Cesena: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Mantova presents solid home form with a 40% home win rate and a favorable goal difference in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). The home team dominates in ball possession (61%) and creates more chances (1.75 xG). Cesena, on the other hand, shows an identical away win rate (40%), although their recent form raises concerns (0 wins in 5 matches, only 0.6 points per match). The visitors have lower xG statistics (1.26) and find the net less frequently on the road (1.13 goals/match). Taking into account Mantova's advantage in home games and Cesena's weaker disposition in recent weeks, combined with the similarity in overall efficiency indicators, a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems to be the most likely outcome.
Mantova vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova played Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Mantova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cesena: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 1.07 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.27 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 57%, Cesena 67%. Over 2.5: Mantova 50%, Cesena 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.43. Mantova: 14.2 shots per match, Cesena: 12.7.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.57. Cesena: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Mantova presents solid home form with a 40% home win rate and a favorable goal difference in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). The home team dominates in ball possession (61%) and creates more chances (1.75 xG). Cesena, on the other hand, shows an identical away win rate (40%), although their recent form raises concerns (0 wins in 5 matches, only 0.6 points per match). The visitors have lower xG statistics (1.26) and find the net less frequently on the road (1.13 goals/match). Taking into account Mantova's advantage in home games and Cesena's weaker disposition in recent weeks, combined with the similarity in overall efficiency indicators, a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mantova is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mantova · 0.6 pts / match - Cesena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Mantova · 1.27 goals / match - Cesena
Cesena is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Mantova · 1.43 goals / match - Cesena
Mantova scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Cesena scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Mantova · 1.3 pts / match - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 0 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 3:0 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Cesena?
Mantova score 1.07 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.27. The Serie B average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Mantova's matches and 67% of Cesena's.
What form are Mantova and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cesena 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.