Italy - Serie BData current as of 23 October 2026

Mantova vs Cremonese: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mantova vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mantova play Cremonese in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 27 October 2026.

Current form

Mantova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cremonese: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mantova scores 1.86 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Cremonese scores 0.86 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mantova 71%, Cremonese 43%. Over 2.5: Mantova 57%, Cremonese 57%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Mantova has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.28. Mantova: 13.1 shots per match, Cremonese: 10.9.

Match halves

Mantova: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14. Cremonese: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Mantova: 46-60 (3 goals). Cremonese: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.43)
(3.30)
(2.75)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.86Goals scored / match0.86
MantovaCremonese
1.14Goals conceded / match1.43
MantovaCremonese
50%Average possession53%
MantovaCremonese
5.29Shots on target / match3.71
MantovaCremonese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.14Shots per match10.86
MantovaCremonese
5.29Shots on target3.71
MantovaCremonese
14.1%Shot conversion7.9%
MantovaCremonese
50%Possession53%
MantovaCremonese
1.48xG for1.28
MantovaCremonese
1.38xG against1.32
MantovaCremonese

Shooting quality

Mantova: Efficient finishingCremonese: Balanced
MantovaCremonese
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mantova is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Mantova · 1.2 pts / match - Cremonese

Mantova
DWDWL
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Cremonese
WDDDL
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mantova is 116% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Mantova · 0.86 goals / match - Cremonese

Mantova is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Mantova · 1.43 goals / match - Cremonese

Mantova scoring profile: very strong

Mantova scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Cremonese scoring profile: strong

Cremonese scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)6
MantovaCremonese
8Goals conceded (season)10
MantovaCremonese
3Average goals in match2.29
MantovaCremonese
8Goals scored (last 5)6
MantovaCremonese
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MantovaCremonese

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal43%
MantovaCremonese
71%2 goals29%
MantovaCremonese
29%3 goals14%
MantovaCremonese
0%4 goals0%
MantovaCremonese

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
MantovaCremonese
29%2 goals43%
MantovaCremonese
0%3 goals29%
MantovaCremonese
0%4 goals0%
MantovaCremonese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
MantovaCremonese
14%BTTS in both halves0%
MantovaCremonese
43%Scored in both halves14%
MantovaCremonese

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
MantovaCremonese
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
MantovaCremonese
60%BTTS - last 560%
MantovaCremonese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MantovaCremonese
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
MantovaCremonese
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
MantovaCremonese

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
MantovaCremonese
86%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
MantovaCremonese
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
MantovaCremonese

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mantova is 116% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / match - Mantova · 0.86 pts / match - Cremonese

Mantova - half-time state
43% leading57% draw0% trailing
Cremonese - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per match (1st half)0.86
MantovaCremonese
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.43
MantovaCremonese
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
MantovaCremonese
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.29
MantovaCremonese
86%Clean sheet before half-time29%
MantovaCremonese
43%No goal before half-time71%
MantovaCremonese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.29
MantovaCremonese
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
MantovaCremonese
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
MantovaCremonese
2.14Average goals (2nd half)1
MantovaCremonese
14%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MantovaCremonese
29%No goal after half-time71%
MantovaCremonese

Mantova - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cremonese - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mantova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cremonese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cremonese
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Cremonese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MantovaLigaCremonese
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.73▼ 2.29
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 57%56%• 57%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%66%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Mantova and Cremonese play?

Mantova face Cremonese on 27 October 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Cremonese?

Mantova score 1.86 goals per game on average and Cremonese 0.86. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Mantova's matches and 43% of Cremonese's.

What form are Mantova and Cremonese in?

Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cremonese 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Cremonese?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.