Mantova vs Palermo: match statistics
Palermo is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 4th in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. Mantova is in the relegation zone in 19th position, hasn't won any of their last 5 games, and shows alarmingly poor form with just 1 point. The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-5), while Palermo shows solidity on the road with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3). xG statistics also favor the visitors; Mantova generates an xG of 1.97 at home but concedes an average of 1.78 goals, indicating defensive issues. Despite lower average possession (50%), Palermo features higher shot efficiency (11% conversion) and a stable defense, conceding only 1 goal on average away. Considering all factors, an away victory is the most probable outcome.
Mantova vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mantova: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Palermo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 0.83 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Palermo scores 1.56 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 44%, Palermo 39%. Over 2.5: Mantova 44%, Palermo 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.55. Mantova: 15.1 shots per match, Palermo: 14.3.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Palermo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (6 goals). Palermo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 4th in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. Mantova is in the relegation zone in 19th position, hasn't won any of their last 5 games, and shows alarmingly poor form with just 1 point. The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-5), while Palermo shows solidity on the road with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3). xG statistics also favor the visitors; Mantova generates an xG of 1.97 at home but concedes an average of 1.78 goals, indicating defensive issues. Despite lower average possession (50%), Palermo features higher shot efficiency (11% conversion) and a stable defense, conceding only 1 goal on average away. Considering all factors, an away victory is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palermo is 1200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Mantova · 2.6 pts / match - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mantova · 1.56 goals / match - Palermo
Palermo is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Mantova · 0.72 goals / match - Palermo
Mantova scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Palermo scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Mantova · 1.67 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 1:1 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Palermo?
Mantova score 0.83 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.56. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Mantova's matches and 39% of Palermo's.
What form are Mantova and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Palermo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Palermo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Palermo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.