Mantova vs Sampdoria: match statistics
Mantova is in 17th place in the table with a record of 6-5-14, but at home they perform better than their position suggests, winning 33% of home matches and having a positive xG differential (1.8 vs 1.35). Sampdoria is in 12th place and is in clear form - in the last 5 matches they have averaged 2.2 points per match without a defeat (3 wins, 2 draws). However, away from home Sampdoria has very poor statistics - only 8% wins and 58% losses, averaging just 0.75 goals per match. Mantova has a possession advantage (63% at home) and more shots (16.58 vs 12.58), which could offset their current poor form (0.8 points in the last 5 matches). Considering Sampdoria's away difficulties and Mantova's home statistical advantage, alongside the visitors' good form, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this evenly matched encounter.
Mantova vs Sampdoria: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova played Sampdoria in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mantova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sampdoria: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 0.96 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Sampdoria scores 1.08 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 52%, Sampdoria 60%. Over 2.5: Mantova 48%, Sampdoria 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.43. Mantova: 14.6 shots per match, Sampdoria: 13.2.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.56. Sampdoria: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (9 goals). Sampdoria: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mantova is in 17th place in the table with a record of 6-5-14, but at home they perform better than their position suggests, winning 33% of home matches and having a positive xG differential (1.8 vs 1.35). Sampdoria is in 12th place and is in clear form - in the last 5 matches they have averaged 2.2 points per match without a defeat (3 wins, 2 draws). However, away from home Sampdoria has very poor statistics - only 8% wins and 58% losses, averaging just 0.75 goals per match. Mantova has a possession advantage (63% at home) and more shots (16.58 vs 12.58), which could offset their current poor form (0.8 points in the last 5 matches). Considering Sampdoria's away difficulties and Mantova's home statistical advantage, alongside the visitors' good form, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this evenly matched encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sampdoria is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mantova · 2.2 pts / match - Sampdoria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sampdoria is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Mantova · 1.08 goals / match - Sampdoria
Sampdoria is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Mantova · 1.28 goals / match - Sampdoria
Mantova scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Sampdoria keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Sampdoria scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Sampdoria
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mantova is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Mantova · 0.88 pts / match - Sampdoria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sampdoria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Sampdoria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 1 - 0 - 0 Sampdoria. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Sampdoria?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 2:1 Sampdoria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Sampdoria?
Mantova score 0.96 goals per game on average and Sampdoria 1.08. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Mantova's matches and 60% of Sampdoria's.
What form are Mantova and Sampdoria in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sampdoria 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Sampdoria?
The statistical background for Mantova vs Sampdoria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.