Mardin BB vs Antalyaspor: match statistics

Mardin BB remain unbeaten in their last five matches, although four of them ended in draws; during this period, they scored only 2 goals and conceded just 1. Antalyaspor possess greater attacking potential, scoring 7 goals in their last five matches, including 4 in their only league fixture so far this season. However, the visitors are clearly less reliable defensively, having conceded 9 goals in their last five appearances, compared with just 1 conceded by the hosts. Both teams have averaged 1.4 points per game over their last five league rounds, so Mardin BB’s solid organization and Antalyaspor’s defensive problems increase the likelihood of a draw.

The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Mardin BB’s very low scoring efficiency in their last 5 matches: the hosts averaged just 0.4 goals, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. Antalyaspor averaged 1.4 goals per game during this period, but Mardin BB have a solid defence, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals across their last five appearances. The hosts’ attacking potential is also limited in terms of chance quality, with their average xG standing at 1.01, while opponents allow their rivals an xG of 1.63. Additionally, BTTS occurs in only 30% of matches across the league, and 90% of fixtures end with at least one team keeping a clean sheet. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that one team fails to score.

Mardin BB’s latest form is clearly defensive: in their last five matches, the team scored just 0.4 goals per game and conceded 0.2, while the 2.5-goal line was exceeded only once. Over the same period, Antalyaspor averaged 1.4 goals scored, but only 40% of their matches went Over 2.5 goals, despite conceding an average of 1.8 goals. The chance-quality indicators also do not point to a high-scoring game, with average xG of 1.01 for the hosts and 1.25 for the visitors. The projected 2.10 goals remains below the league average of 2.5, while Mardin BB’s very low recent goals-conceded rate limits the potential for a high-scoring outcome. Therefore, Under 3.5 offers the greatest value, as it takes at least four goals to lose this bet—something the hosts’ current form clearly does not support.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and at full-time, as Mardin BB drew 80% of their last five matches, remaining unbeaten throughout that period. The hosts scored just 0.4 goals per match but conceded only 0.2, while in the first halves they scored a total of one goal and conceded none. Antalyaspor are more likely to start cautiously: they were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded before half-time. The visitors are more productive after the interval, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, which increases the risk of a late turnaround, although Mardin BB’s very low attacking efficiency favours the draw being maintained until full-time.