Bulgaria - Second LeagueStadion BonchukData current as of 31 August 2026

Marek vs Nesebar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Marek vs Nesebar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Marek play Nesebar in Second League (Bulgaria). The match date is 2 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Bonchuk.

Current form

Marek: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Nesebar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Marek scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nesebar scores 2.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Marek 33%, Nesebar 50%. Over 2.5: Marek 33%, Nesebar 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Nesebar has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.24. Marek: 10.2 shots per match, Nesebar: 12.7.

Match halves

Marek: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Nesebar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Marek: 31-45+ (2 goals). Nesebar: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Second League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2.17
MarekNesebar
1Goals conceded / match1.5
MarekNesebar
48%Average possession37%
MarekNesebar
3.33Shots on target / match5.5
MarekNesebar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.17Shots per match12.67
MarekNesebar
3.33Shots on target5.5
MarekNesebar
9.8%Shot conversion17.1%
MarekNesebar
48%Possession37%
MarekNesebar
1.24xG for1.82
MarekNesebar
1.37xG against1.44
MarekNesebar

Shooting quality

Marek: BalancedNesebar: Counter-attacking
MarekNesebar
Accuracy (shots on target)33%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nesebar is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Marek · 2 pts / match - Nesebar

Marek
LLLWD
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Nesebar
LWWWD
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nesebar is 117% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Marek · 2.17 goals / match - Nesebar

Marek is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Marek · 1.5 goals / match - Nesebar

Marek scoring profile: mixed

Marek scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Nesebar scoring profile: very strong

Nesebar scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Marek keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

6Goals scored (season)13
MarekNesebar
6Goals conceded (season)9
MarekNesebar
2Average goals in match3.67
MarekNesebar
5Goals scored (last 5)12
MarekNesebar
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
MarekNesebar

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
MarekNesebar
17%2 goals33%
MarekNesebar
17%3 goals17%
MarekNesebar
17%4 goals17%
MarekNesebar

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
MarekNesebar
33%2 goals33%
MarekNesebar
0%3 goals33%
MarekNesebar
0%4 goals17%
MarekNesebar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
MarekNesebar
17%BTTS in both halves0%
MarekNesebar
17%Scored in both halves17%
MarekNesebar

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
MarekNesebar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MarekNesebar
40%BTTS - last 540%
MarekNesebar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
MarekNesebar
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
MarekNesebar
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MarekNesebar

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
MarekNesebar
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MarekNesebar
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MarekNesebar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nesebar is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Marek · 1.83 pts / match - Nesebar

Marek - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Nesebar - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.83
MarekNesebar
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.17
MarekNesebar
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
MarekNesebar
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.83
MarekNesebar
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MarekNesebar
67%No goal before half-time17%
MarekNesebar

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.17
MarekNesebar
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
MarekNesebar
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
MarekNesebar
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.83
MarekNesebar
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MarekNesebar
67%No goal after half-time67%
MarekNesebar

Marek - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nesebar - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Marek - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nesebar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Marek
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Nesebar
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Marek

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Nesebar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
192%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

MarekLigaNesebar
Average goals in match 2.002.57 3.67
Both teams scored 33%46% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%43% 50%
Clean sheets 33%30% 50%
Goal before half-time 50%61% 83%
Goal after half-time 67%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Marek and Nesebar play?

Marek face Nesebar on 2 September 2026 in Second League at Stadion Bonchuk. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Marek vs Nesebar?

Marek score 1.00 goals per game on average and Nesebar 2.17. The Second League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Marek's matches and 50% of Nesebar's.

What form are Marek and Nesebar in?

Over the last 5 games Marek have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nesebar 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marek vs Nesebar?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marek vs Nesebar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.