Marek vs Nesebar: match statistics
Marek vs Nesebar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marek played Nesebar in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 2 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Bonchuk. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Marek: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Nesebar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marek scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nesebar scores 2.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marek 33%, Nesebar 50%. Over 2.5: Marek 33%, Nesebar 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Nesebar has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.24. Marek: 10.2 shots per match, Nesebar: 12.7.
Match halves
Marek: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Nesebar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Marek: 31-45+ (2 goals). Nesebar: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marek have a perfect home record, winning 100% of their matches so far, and scoring an average of 4 goals in those games. The hosts create high-quality chances at 1.54 xG and register 5 shots on target per match, while Nesebar concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home, with 1.51 xG allowed to opponents. Nesebar sit higher in the table and have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, but away from home they average only 1 goal and have lost half of their away fixtures. Marek have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of 2 goals at home, so the visitors have a realistic chance of scoring, but the hosts’ superior home finishing makes outcome 1 the preferred pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Marek kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while his games ended with BTTS - Yes in only 33% of cases, compared with the league average of 49%. Nesebar has a higher seasonal BTTS rate of 50%, but over the last five matches both teams recorded only 40%, which does not confirm a clear Goal/Goal trend. The visitors are an attacking threat, averaging 2.4 goals and creating 1.82 xG recently, but Marek conceded just 1.2 goals per game during this period. The hosts should score, given their average of 8.33 shots on target and seasonal xG of 2.02; however, Nesebar’s 50% clean-sheet rate and Marek’s defensive efficiency increase the likelihood that one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Marek creates a high volume of chances at home, averaging 17.33 shots, including 8.33 on target, while his seasonal xG stands at 2.02. Nesebar have scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last five matches and generated xG of 1.82, while Marek conceded an average of 1.2 goals during this period. The combined goal projection of 3.00 is above the league average of 2.71, and both the home and away sides have scored at least one goal in 100% of their matches so far. The Over 2.5 line receives moderate support, as Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of Marek’s last five matches and 60% of Nesebar’s. The strongest pick remains Over 1.5 goals, given that the hosts scored over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches, while the attacking potential of both sides significantly reduces the risk of a very low-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Marek has a clear home-team profile: they score an average of 3.33 goals per match, with an xG of 2.02, while Nesebar average 1.00 goal and generate an xG of 1.52. The advantage is particularly evident before half-time, as Marek led at the break in 2 of 3 matches (67%) and scored an average of 1.67 goals, whereas Nesebar were level at half-time in both available matches and scored an average of 0.50 goals. The hosts also record 8.33 shots on target per match compared with the opponents’ 4.50, while their finishing efficiency stands at 19%, compared with Nesebar’s 8%. After the break, Marek still have a positive goal difference, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding only 0.67, which supports their ability to maintain an established lead. Nesebar’s form over their last five matches is stronger, with 3 wins and an average of 2.40 goals, so half-time draw or away-win scenarios retain a significant share; however, the highest-rated outcome remains Marek leading at the break and securing the final victory (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marek | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nesebar is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Marek · 2 pts / match - Nesebar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nesebar is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Marek · 2.17 goals / match - Nesebar
Marek is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Marek · 1.5 goals / match - Nesebar
Marek scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Nesebar scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Marek keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marek
Over / Under - Nesebar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nesebar is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Marek · 1.83 pts / match - Nesebar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nesebar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marek
Nesebar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Marek | Liga | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MarekGoalNikolay Genadiev Ganchev
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Marek vs Nesebar?
The Second League match finished Marek 1:0 Nesebar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marek vs Nesebar?
Marek score 1.00 goals per game on average and Nesebar 2.17. The Second League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Marek's matches and 50% of Nesebar's.
What form are Marek and Nesebar in?
Over the last 5 games Marek have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nesebar 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marek vs Nesebar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marek vs Nesebar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.