Marek vs Sevlievo: match statistics
Marek, as the home team, has a clear advantage in this encounter. The hosts show much better efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.22 goals with an xG of 1.87, indicating untapped offensive potential. Sevlievo displays very poor away form with just 25% wins and as many as 50% losses, scoring an average of only 0.63 goals per away match. A key factor is also that the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%). Marek enjoys better ball possession (53% vs 47%) and generates significantly more shots (14.89 vs 7.38), which, playing at home, should translate into control over the match proceedings. The goal difference of both teams (+2 for the hosts in home matches vs -6 for the guests away) further supports a Marek victory, although the hosts' recent poorer form (1 win in the last 5 matches) calls for caution in predictions.
Marek vs Sevlievo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marek played Sevlievo in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Marek: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sevlievo: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marek scores 0.78 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Sevlievo scores 0.67 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marek 44%, Sevlievo 33%. Over 2.5: Marek 39%, Sevlievo 33%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Marek has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.37. Marek: 11.3 shots per match, Sevlievo: 9.3.
Match halves
Marek: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.44. Sevlievo: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Marek: 76-90+ (4 goals). Sevlievo: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marek, as the home team, has a clear advantage in this encounter. The hosts show much better efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.22 goals with an xG of 1.87, indicating untapped offensive potential. Sevlievo displays very poor away form with just 25% wins and as many as 50% losses, scoring an average of only 0.63 goals per away match. A key factor is also that the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%). Marek enjoys better ball possession (53% vs 47%) and generates significantly more shots (14.89 vs 7.38), which, playing at home, should translate into control over the match proceedings. The goal difference of both teams (+2 for the hosts in home matches vs -6 for the guests away) further supports a Marek victory, although the hosts' recent poorer form (1 win in the last 5 matches) calls for caution in predictions.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marek | Sevlievo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 62% | 65% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marek is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Marek · 0.67 goals / match - Sevlievo
Sevlievo is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Marek · 1.44 goals / match - Sevlievo
Marek scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Sevlievo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sevlievo scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Marek keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marek
Over / Under - Sevlievo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marek is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Marek · 0.78 pts / match - Sevlievo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sevlievo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marek
Sevlievo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Marek | Liga | Sevlievo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | • 44% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 34% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SevlievoGoalBorislav Vakadinov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marek 0 - 1 - 0 Sevlievo. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marek vs Sevlievo?
The Second League match finished Marek 0:1 Sevlievo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marek vs Sevlievo?
Marek score 0.78 goals per game on average and Sevlievo 0.67. The Second League average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Marek's matches and 33% of Sevlievo's.
What form are Marek and Sevlievo in?
Over the last 5 games Marek have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sevlievo 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marek vs Sevlievo?
The statistical background for Marek vs Sevlievo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.