Maribor vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Maribor played Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Maribor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Aluminij: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Maribor scores 1.88 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Aluminij scores 1.41 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Maribor 53%, Aluminij 76%. Over 2.5: Maribor 59%, Aluminij 71%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Maribor has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.35. Maribor: 13.3 shots per match, Aluminij: 9.7.

Match halves

Maribor: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 0.82. Aluminij: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Maribor: 31-45+ (9 goals). Aluminij: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

PrvaLiga: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
MariborAluminij
12Shots11
MariborAluminij
8Shots on target4
MariborAluminij
1.81xG1.35
MariborAluminij
3Corners3
MariborAluminij
68Dangerous attacks51
MariborAluminij
21Fouls20
MariborAluminij
5Cards4
MariborAluminij

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.88Goals scored / match1.41
MariborAluminij
1.18Goals conceded / match1.76
MariborAluminij
49%Average possession47%
MariborAluminij
5.29Shots on target / match4
MariborAluminij

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.29Shots per match9.71
MariborAluminij
5.29Shots on target4
MariborAluminij
14.2%Shot conversion14.5%
MariborAluminij
49%Possession47%
MariborAluminij
1.76xG for1.35
MariborAluminij
1.63xG against1.89
MariborAluminij

Shooting quality

Maribor: Efficient finishingAluminij: Counter-attacking
MariborAluminij
Accuracy (shots on target)40%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Maribor is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Maribor · 0.8 pts / match - Aluminij

Maribor
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W24% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-4
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Aluminij
LLWLD
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-7
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 2.14BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Maribor is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.88 goals / match - Maribor · 1.41 goals / match - Aluminij

Maribor is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Maribor · 1.76 goals / match - Aluminij

Maribor scoring profile: very strong

Maribor scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

Aluminij scoring profile: very strong

Aluminij scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

32Goals scored (season)24
MariborAluminij
20Goals conceded (season)30
MariborAluminij
3.06Average goals in match3.18
MariborAluminij
10Goals scored (last 5)6
MariborAluminij
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
MariborAluminij

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal88%
MariborAluminij
53%2 goals47%
MariborAluminij
35%3 goals6%
MariborAluminij
12%4 goals0%
MariborAluminij

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal82%
MariborAluminij
35%2 goals47%
MariborAluminij
12%3 goals35%
MariborAluminij
0%4 goals12%
MariborAluminij

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time24%
MariborAluminij
18%BTTS in both halves6%
MariborAluminij
47%Scored in both halves24%
MariborAluminij

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
MariborAluminij
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
MariborAluminij
60%BTTS - last 580%
MariborAluminij

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
MariborAluminij
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
MariborAluminij
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
MariborAluminij

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
MariborAluminij
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
MariborAluminij
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time35%
MariborAluminij

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Maribor is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.06 pts / match - Maribor · 1.18 pts / match - Aluminij

Maribor - half-time state
65% leading12% draw24% trailing
Aluminij - half-time state
29% leading29% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.06Points per match (1st half)1.18
MariborAluminij
1.06Goals scored (1st half)0.59
MariborAluminij
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
MariborAluminij
1.59Average goals (1st half)1.41
MariborAluminij
47%Clean sheet before half-time41%
MariborAluminij
24%No goal before half-time47%
MariborAluminij

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.35
MariborAluminij
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
MariborAluminij
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
MariborAluminij
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.76
MariborAluminij
53%Clean sheet after half-time47%
MariborAluminij
47%No goal after half-time41%
MariborAluminij

Maribor - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 53%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aluminij - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Maribor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.00
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+60
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Aluminij - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Maribor
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
9
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Aluminij
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
1
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.11
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Maribor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Aluminij

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).

Teams vs league

MariborLigaAluminij
Average goals in match 3.063.03 3.18
Both teams scored 53%59% 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%62% 71%
Clean sheets 29%23% 18%
Goal before half-time 100%86% 88%
Goal after half-time 76%79% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.03
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MariborGoalÓscar ZambranoAssist: Jan Repas
  2. MariborYellow cardPijus Sirvys
  3. MariborGoalAli Reghba
  4. AluminijYellow cardSule Wisdom Aondowase
  5. AluminijYellow cardAleksandar Zeljkovic
  6. MariborSubstitutionOn: Hillel El Arbi SoudaniOff: Pijus Sirvys
  7. MariborYellow cardHillel El Arbi Soudani
  8. MariborYellow cardMark Španring
  9. AluminijSubstitutionOn: Petar PetriškoOff: Omar Kočar
  10. MariborYellow cardOmar Rekik
  11. AluminijSubstitutionOn: Lan DrevensekOff: Domen Zajšek
  12. AluminijGoalVid Koderman
  13. AluminijGoalBehar Feta
  14. AluminijYellow cardMarko Simonič
  15. MariborYellow cardKarol Borys
  16. AluminijSubstitutionOn: Nal Lan KorenOff: Sule Wisdom Aondowase
  17. AluminijYellow cardNal Lan Koren

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Denis HalilovićMatches officiated: 11
5.82Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 264%Home wins18%Draws18%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Maribor 1 - 0 - 0 Aluminij. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

NK Aluminij
2 : 3
NK Maribor

FAQ

What was the result of Maribor vs Aluminij?

The PrvaLiga match finished Maribor 2:3 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Maribor vs Aluminij?

Maribor score 1.88 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.41. The PrvaLiga average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Maribor's matches and 76% of Aluminij's.

What form are Maribor and Aluminij in?

Over the last 5 games Maribor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Aluminij 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maribor vs Aluminij?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.