Slovenia - PrvaLigaLjudski vrtData current as of 18 October 2026

Maribor vs Celje: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Maribor vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Maribor play Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Ljudski vrt.

Current form

Maribor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Celje: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Maribor scores 1.91 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Celje scores 1.20 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Maribor 64%, Celje 50%. Over 2.5: Maribor 55%, Celje 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Maribor has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.60. Maribor: 13.3 shots per match, Celje: 12.6.

Match halves

Maribor: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.09. Celje: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Maribor: 76-90+ (7 goals). Celje: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

PrvaLiga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.36)
(3.35)
(2.52)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.91Goals scored / match1.2
MariborCelje
0.82Goals conceded / match1.1
MariborCelje
57%Average possession63%
MariborCelje
4.91Shots on target / match3.8
MariborCelje

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.27Shots per match12.6
MariborCelje
4.91Shots on target3.8
MariborCelje
14.4%Shot conversion9.5%
MariborCelje
57%Possession63%
MariborCelje
1.72xG for1.6
MariborCelje
1.14xG against1.25
MariborCelje

Shooting quality

Maribor: Efficient finishingCelje: Balanced
MariborCelje
Accuracy (shots on target)37%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Maribor is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Maribor · 1.4 pts / match - Celje

Maribor
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
55% W45% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-0
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.07Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Celje
WLLDW
Season result split
40% W30% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Maribor is 59% better for: goals scored per match.

1.91 goals / match - Maribor · 1.2 goals / match - Celje

Maribor is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - Maribor · 1.1 goals / match - Celje

Maribor scoring profile: very strong

Maribor scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

Celje scoring profile: strong

Celje scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

21Goals scored (season)12
MariborCelje
9Goals conceded (season)11
MariborCelje
2.73Average goals in match2.3
MariborCelje
11Goals scored (last 5)4
MariborCelje
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
MariborCelje

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal80%
MariborCelje
64%2 goals30%
MariborCelje
36%3 goals10%
MariborCelje
0%4 goals0%
MariborCelje

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal60%
MariborCelje
18%2 goals30%
MariborCelje
0%3 goals10%
MariborCelje
0%4 goals10%
MariborCelje

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time20%
MariborCelje
9%BTTS in both halves0%
MariborCelje
45%Scored in both halves10%
MariborCelje

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MariborCelje
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MariborCelje
80%BTTS - last 520%
MariborCelje

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
MariborCelje
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
MariborCelje
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
MariborCelje

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
MariborCelje
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
MariborCelje
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
MariborCelje

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Maribor is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Maribor · 1.3 pts / match - Celje

Maribor - half-time state
55% leading18% draw27% trailing
Celje - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.3
MariborCelje
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MariborCelje
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
MariborCelje
1.27Average goals (1st half)1
MariborCelje
55%Clean sheet before half-time50%
MariborCelje
36%No goal before half-time60%
MariborCelje

After half-time (2nd half)

1.91Points per match (2nd half)1.8
MariborCelje
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
MariborCelje
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
MariborCelje
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.3
MariborCelje
73%Clean sheet after half-time70%
MariborCelje
27%No goal after half-time50%
MariborCelje

Maribor - second-half results

55% W27% D18% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celje - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Maribor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Celje - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Maribor
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Celje
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Maribor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Celje

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).

Teams vs league

MariborLigaCelje
Average goals in match• 2.732.65▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▲ 64%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%49%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▲ 36%29%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%72%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%79%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
1.35
Away goals / match
+-4%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Maribor 0 - 2 - 3 Celje. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.

Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
NK Celje
1 : 0
NK Maribor
NK Maribor
3 : 3
NK Celje
NK Celje
3 : 0
NK Maribor
NK Maribor
1 : 2
NK Celje

FAQ

When do Maribor and Celje play?

Maribor face Celje on 18 October 2026 in PrvaLiga at Ljudski vrt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Maribor and Celje?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Maribor won 0, Celje won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Maribor vs Celje?

Maribor score 1.91 goals per game on average and Celje 1.20. The PrvaLiga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Maribor's matches and 50% of Celje's.

What form are Maribor and Celje in?

Over the last 5 games Maribor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Celje 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maribor vs Celje?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Maribor vs Celje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.