Maribor vs Celje: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Maribor vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Maribor play Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Ljudski vrt.
Current form
Maribor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Celje: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Maribor scores 1.91 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Celje scores 1.20 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Maribor 64%, Celje 50%. Over 2.5: Maribor 55%, Celje 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Maribor has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.60. Maribor: 13.3 shots per match, Celje: 12.6.
Match halves
Maribor: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.09. Celje: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Maribor: 76-90+ (7 goals). Celje: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 60%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Maribor | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Maribor is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Maribor · 1.4 pts / match - Celje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Maribor is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Maribor · 1.2 goals / match - Celje
Maribor is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Maribor · 1.1 goals / match - Celje
Maribor scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Celje scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Maribor
Over / Under - Celje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Maribor is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Maribor · 1.3 pts / match - Celje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Maribor
Celje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Maribor | Liga | Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Maribor 0 - 2 - 3 Celje. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
When do Maribor and Celje play?
Maribor face Celje on 18 October 2026 in PrvaLiga at Ljudski vrt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Maribor and Celje?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Maribor won 0, Celje won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Maribor vs Celje?
Maribor score 1.91 goals per game on average and Celje 1.20. The PrvaLiga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Maribor's matches and 50% of Celje's.
What form are Maribor and Celje in?
Over the last 5 games Maribor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Celje 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maribor vs Celje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Maribor vs Celje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


