Maribor vs Mura: match statistics
Maribor is the firm favorite for this clash, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories this season. The hosts showcase excellent home form - a 46% win rate at home, averaging 2.38 goals per game, and only 15% defeats. Mura, on the other hand, performs very poorly on the road, suffering a 77% loss rate, only an 8% win rate, and a disastrous goal difference (-17). The visiting team has recorded only defeats in their last 5 away matches, scoring a mere average of 0.77 goals while conceding 2.08 goals per match. Additionally, Mura fails to score in 54% of their away fixtures, which, paired with Maribor's efficiency (5.69 shots on target per match), makes a home win highly probable. The gap in play quality, form, and statistics unequivocally points to a confident victory for Maribor.
Maribor vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Maribor played Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Maribor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Mura: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Maribor scores 1.88 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Mura scores 1.04 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Maribor 50%, Mura 46%. Over 2.5: Maribor 54%, Mura 54%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Maribor has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.38. Maribor: 13.3 shots per match, Mura: 10.5.
Match halves
Maribor: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.79. Mura: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Maribor: 31-45+ (13 goals). Mura: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Maribor is the firm favorite for this clash, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories this season. The hosts showcase excellent home form - a 46% win rate at home, averaging 2.38 goals per game, and only 15% defeats. Mura, on the other hand, performs very poorly on the road, suffering a 77% loss rate, only an 8% win rate, and a disastrous goal difference (-17). The visiting team has recorded only defeats in their last 5 away matches, scoring a mere average of 0.77 goals while conceding 2.08 goals per match. Additionally, Mura fails to score in 54% of their away fixtures, which, paired with Maribor's efficiency (5.69 shots on target per match), makes a home win highly probable. The gap in play quality, form, and statistics unequivocally points to a confident victory for Maribor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Maribor | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Maribor is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Maribor · 1.2 pts / match - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Maribor is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Maribor · 1.04 goals / match - Mura
Maribor is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Maribor · 1.71 goals / match - Mura
Maribor scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
Mura scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Maribor
Over / Under - Mura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Maribor is 136% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Maribor · 0.92 pts / match - Mura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Maribor
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Maribor | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.04 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Maribor 2 - 0 - 0 Mura. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Maribor vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Maribor 3:0 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Maribor and Mura?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Maribor won 2, Mura won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Maribor vs Mura?
Maribor score 1.88 goals per game on average and Mura 1.04. The PrvaLiga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Maribor's matches and 46% of Mura's.
What form are Maribor and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Maribor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mura 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maribor vs Mura?
The statistical background for Maribor vs Mura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.